Match Info

POLAND: DIVISION 1 - ROUND 27

Date: 15 April 2023, Saturday

Location: ArcelorMittal Park (Sosnowiec)

Referee: Wajda T. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	Polsat Sport Extra


	Zagłębie Sosnowiec		Ruch Chorzów

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.1	2.25
	3.1	3.1	2.2
	3.2	3.1	2.1
	3.23	3.27	2.34
	3.1	2.9	2.25
	3.14	3.18	2.26
	3.25	3.2	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.13 ↓ (3.25)	3.12 ↓ (3.28)	2.23 ↑ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zagłębie Sosnowiec
29.3%

Draw
29.4%

Ruch Chorzów
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.4%

28.2%

43.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.9%

27.8%

44.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zagłębie Sosnowiec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Ruch Chorzów has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zagłębie Sosnowiec than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ruch Chorzów than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
4.8%	19%	76.2%

Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Ruch Chorzów Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Zagłębie Sosnowiec will win (votes: 1 - 4.8%). Ruch Chorzów will win (votes: 16 - 76.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 19%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ruch Chorzów: 58% – 94.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Zagłębie Sosnowiec won 2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Ruch Chorzów could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Ruch Chorzów will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Zagłębie Sosnowiec won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Zagłębie Sosnowiec won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zagłębie Sosnowiec
Polish Division 1
08.04.23	Stal Rzeszów - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	6:0 ✺
02.04.23	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Puszcza Niepołomice	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
24.03.23	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Garbarnia Kraków	1:0 ✺
Polish Division 1
19.03.23	Chrobry Głogów - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	0:0 ✺
12.03.23	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Skra Częstochowa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LTWTL
- Ruch Chorzów
Polish Division 1
06.04.23	Ruch Chorzów - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	2:2 ✺
31.03.23	Termalica Nieciecza - Ruch Chorzów	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
24.03.23	Ruch Chorzów - Puszcza Niepołomice	5:2 ✺
Polish Division 1
19.03.23	Ruch Chorzów - ŁKS Łódź	3:3 ✺
10.03.23	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Ruch Chorzów	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
24.09.22	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Ruch Chorzów	1:1
Polish Division 1
09.09.22	Ruch Chorzów - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	2:0
Club Friendly
03.02.21	Ruch Chorzów - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	0:2
22.02.20	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Ruch Chorzów	3:3
Polish Division 1
27.05.18	Ruch Chorzów - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	0:1
03.11.17	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Ruch Chorzów	2:1
Club Friendly
05.07.13	Ruch Chorzów - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	1:0

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