Match Info

J1 League - Round 2

Date: 15 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Mercari Stadium (Kashima)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1
Japan	DAZN Japan
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Kashima Antlers		Nagoya Grampus

	1	X	2
	1.86	3.50	3.90	Watch
	1.90	3.50	3.80
	1.76	3.60	4.20	Watch
	1.95	3.66	4.14
	1.88	3.65	4.04	Watch
	1.92	3.60	4.00
	1.89	3.54	4.16	Watch
	1.90	3.55	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.75)	3.58 ↓ (3.61)	4.02 ↓ (4.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kashima Antlers
50.1%

Draw
26.4%

Nagoya Grampus
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.5%

26%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kashima Antlers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Nagoya Grampus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.9%	15.4%	7.7%

Kashima Antlers - Nagoya Grampus Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Kashima will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Nagoya will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kashima: 54% – 99.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hayakawa T. (G) 37. Hirose R. 55. Ueda N. (C) 5. Sekigawa I. 7. Ogawa R. 18. Yan 6. Misao K. 8. Matheus Bueno 30. Yoshida M. 40. Suzuki Y. 9. Leo Ceara	35. Pisano A. (G) 70. Hara T. 13. Fujii H. 2. Nogami Y. 7. Izumi R. 15. Inagaki S. (C) 31. Takamine T. 27. Nakayama K. 17. Uchida T. 22. Kimura Y. 11. Yamagishi Y.
Substitutes
77. Cavric A. 24. Hayashu H. 3. Kim Tae-Hyeon 27. Matsumura Y. 35. Motosuna A. 10. Shibasaki G. 34. Tokuda H. 23. Tsukui K. 21. Yamada T. (G)	9. Asano Y. 36. Hagi H. (G) 19. Koda H. 10. Mateus 14. Morishima T. 18. Nagai K. 41. Ono M. 3. Sato Y. 55. Tokumoto S.
Coaches
Oniki T.	Petrovic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Leo Ceara ⚽, Yan (A),
25', Misao K. 🟨,
43', Yan ↓, Matsumura Y. ↑,
45', Suzuki Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Nogami Y. ↓, Tokumoto S. ↑,
46', Yoshida M. ↓, Hayashu H. ↑,
46', Yamagishi Y. ↓, Mateus ↑,
48', Leo Ceara 🟨,
54', 1 - 1, Ueda N. (Own goal),
69', Matheus Bueno ↓, Shibasaki G. ↑,
69', Leo Ceara ↓, Cavric A. ↑,
74', Izumi R. ↓, Asano Y. ↑,
77', Inagaki S. 🟨,
87', Kimura Y. ↓, Nagai K. ↑,
88', Hara T. ↓, Sato Y. ↑,
88', Suzuki Y. ↓, Tokuda H. ↑,
90+8', 2 - 1, Uchida T. (Own goal),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kashima won 3.

Kashima may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Kashima is the team to beat.

There will not play in Kashima: Anzai K. (Knee Injury) Higuchi Y. (Leg Injury) Suzuki Y. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Nagoya: Koyamatsu T. (Knee Injury) Marcus Vinicius (Broken Leg)

There are questionable in Nagoya: Schmidt D. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kashima won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 23:19. (average 1.2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Kashima won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 0.7:0.9).

Outrights of Japan J1 League for now

Kashima Antlers: 13.09% Nagoya Grampus: 0.78%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Kashima Antlers	4	4	0	0	11:6	5	12
8	Nagoya Grampus	4	2	0	2	6:5	1	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kashima Antlers
Japan J1 League
07.08.26	Yokohama F. Marinos - Kashima Antlers	3:4 ✺
06.06.26	Kashima Antlers - Vissel Kobe	2:0 ✺
30.05.26	Vissel Kobe - Kashima Antlers	5:0 ✺
23.05.26	Kashima Antlers - Tokyo	1:0 ✺
17.05.26	JEF United Chiba - Kashima Antlers	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWLWW
- Nagoya Grampus
Japan J1 League
08.08.26	Nagoya Grampus - Shimizu S-Pulse	0:1 ✺
06.06.26	Machida Zelvia - Nagoya Grampus	2:1 ET ✺
30.05.26	Nagoya Grampus - Machida Zelvia	2:2 ✺
23.05.26	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Nagoya Grampus	4:2 ✺
17.05.26	Cerezo Osaka - Nagoya Grampus	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
27.09.25	Nagoya Grampus - Kashima Antlers	0:4
25.04.25	Kashima Antlers - Nagoya Grampus	1:0
09.11.24	Kashima Antlers - Nagoya Grampus	0:0
23.02.24	Nagoya Grampus - Kashima Antlers	0:3
Japan J League Cup
10.09.23	Kashima Antlers - Nagoya Grampus	1:2 ET
06.09.23	Nagoya Grampus - Kashima Antlers	1:1
Japan J1 League
13.08.23	Nagoya Grampus - Kashima Antlers	1:0

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