Match Info

Liga 3 - Round 12

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Estádio Conde Dias Garcia (São João da Madeira)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Sanjoanense		Amarante

	1	X	2
	2.25	3	3
	2.44	3.15	3.19
	2.46	3.09	2.94	Watch
	2.38	2.9	2.9
	2.37	3.09	3.09	Watch
	2.28	2.85	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (2.22)	3.01 ↓ (3.06)	3.04 ↓ (3.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sanjoanense
39%

Draw
30.6%

Amarante
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

29.9%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sanjoanense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Amarante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Sanjoanense - Amarante Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Amarante (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Monteiro J. (G) 4. Cardoso R. 19. Cezar F. 25. Couto J. 6. Daniel J. 16. Gomes V. 10. Kiko Felix 2. Martins J. 3. Nando 5. Santos R. 30. Talles Wander	1. Duarte M. (G) 6. Almeida F. 90. Arome 4. Filipe J. 5. Innusah H. 3. Mendes F. 28. Pedro R. 2. Ribeiro O. 23. Saint-Louis J. 80. Ventura 22. Vivas S.
Substitutes
27. Calo A. 20. Correia L. 36. Duarte A. (G) 21. Gomes R. 17. Lopes M. 24. Maio F. 9. Mosquera Larrahondo S. D. 84. Mosquera S. 13. Pinheiro Edu	88. Aguiar E. 30. Antunes Tiago C. J. 7. Conceicao M. 13. Flores R. (G) 8. Helder Pedro 20. Moreno Tavares Cunha M. 10. Rodrigues D. 17. Sousa G. 64. Vila D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Saint-Louis J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Kiko Felix ↓, Pinheiro Edu ↑,
60', Almeida F. 🟨,
78', Arome ↓, Moreno Tavares Cunha M. ↑,
90+2', Saint-Louis J. ↓, Rodrigues D. ↑,
90+3', 0 - 2, Moreno Tavares Cunha M. ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 6 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: ) and 8 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: ))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sanjoanense won 0.

Amarante has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Sanjoanense won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.6:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Sanjoanense won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Amarante - the odds 3.18 are the expected chance of winning is 28.77%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Sanjoanense
Portuguese Liga 3
29.11.25	Marco 09 - Sanjoanense	2:1 ✺
09.11.25	Sanjoanense - Fafe	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Vitoria Guimarães B - Sanjoanense	1:0 ✺
26.10.25	Sanjoanense - Varzim	3:3 ✺
04.10.25	Trofense - Sanjoanense	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 LTLTW
- Amarante FC
Portuguese Liga 3
29.11.25	Amarante - Vitoria Guimarães B	1:2 ✺
09.11.25	Varzim - Amarante	0:0 ✺
02.11.25	Trofense - Amarante	0:1 ✺
26.10.25	Amarante - Paredes	1:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
19.10.25	Amarante - Leixões	1:2 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
24.08.25	Amarante - Sanjoanense	0:0
02.11.24	Amarante - Sanjoanense	1:0
03.08.24	Sanjoanense - Amarante	0:1
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
23.02.20	Amarante - Sanjoanense	2:1
03.02.19	Amarante - Sanjoanense	1:1
11.03.18	Amarante - Sanjoanense	1:1
05.11.17	Sanjoanense - Amarante	1:1

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