Match Info

Liga 3 - Round 12

Date: 7 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio do Clube Desportivo Trofense (Trofa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Trofense		Paredes

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.92	3.2
	2.25	3.06	3.57
	2.23	3.05	3.39	Watch
	2.25	2.8	3.25
	2.21	2.93	3.26
	2.14	2.85	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.39)	2.94 ↑ (2.85)	3.35 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trofense
41.4%

Draw
31.2%

Paredes
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

32.2%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trofense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Paredes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Trofense - Paredes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Silva N. (C) 15. Borges F. 5. Cunha G. 29. Joel 26. Lobo G. 87. Melro R. 2. Oliveira J. 11. Paciencia V. 8. Reko Silva 23. Ribeiro Gomes D. M. 79. Rocha T.	31. Matos F. (G) 2. Araujo P. 3. Duarte D. P. 14. Erik 44. Ferreira P. 9. Fonseca R. 23. Macedo Z. 4. Pereira Pacheco R. F. 29. Vasco Rocha (C) 84. Yuk J. 11. Zacarias V.
Substitutes
14. Assis Cardoso R. H. 18. Diagne O. 19. Diarra M. 22. Duarte E. 9. Hachadi K. 7. Ivandro 17. Monteiro D. 96. Rendeiro R. (G) 77. Roka	99. Balelo 24. Buby 16. Goncalves T. (G) 20. Lemos I. M. 6. Matheus Brito 5. Moreira Nuno 26. Santos Outeiro D. 10. Soares A. 21. Veiga D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Duarte D. P. (Penalty Awarded),
29', Paciencia V. ↓, Diagne O. ↑,
34', Ribeiro Gomes D. M. 🟨,
40', Joel 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Melro R. ↓, Ivandro ↑,
46', Lobo G. ↓, Hachadi K. ↑,
51', Erik 🟨,
62', Rocha T. ↓, Diarra M. ↑,
62', Joel ↓, Duarte E. ↑,
69', Zacarias V. ↓, Buby ↑,
80', Fonseca R. ↓, Balelo ↑,
81', Yuk J. ↓, Lemos I. M. ↑,
89', Diagne O. 🟨,
90+4', Ferreira P. 🟨,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: ) and 8 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )).

Trofense has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Paredes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Trofense is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Trofense won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 0.5:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Trofense won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Trofense - the odds 2.39 are the expected chance of winning is 38.33%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Trofense
Portuguese Liga 3
01.12.25	Braga B - Trofense	1:1 ✺
08.11.25	Trofense - São João de Ver	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Trofense - Amarante	0:1 ✺
25.10.25	Marco 09 - Trofense	1:1 ✺
11.10.25	Trofense - Varzim	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TTLTW
- USC Paredes
Portuguese Liga 3
29.11.25	Fafe - Paredes	2:1 ✺
08.11.25	Paredes - Braga B	2:0 ✺
02.11.25	Paredes - São João de Ver	0:0 ✺
26.10.25	Amarante - Paredes	1:0 ✺
05.10.25	Paredes - Marco 09	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
23.08.25	Paredes - Trofense	0:0
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
11.04.21	Paredes - Trofense	0:1
10.01.21	Trofense - Paredes	0:0
31.08.19	Trofense - Paredes	1:4

Trofense - Paredes: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide