The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Santa Ana 49%
Draw 26.2%
Moravia 24.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
41.6%
28%
30.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.8%
26%
28.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santa Ana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Santa Ana's performance.
Moravia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Moravia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Ana than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moravia than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
Santa Ana - Moravia Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
32', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
74', 0 - 2, ⚽,
78', 1 - 2, ⚽,
90+5', 1 - 3, ⚽,
Preview
This match features the league leader against an opponent battling near the bottom (ranked 1st in the Promotion - Liga de Ascenso (Apertura - Playoffs - Quarter - finals) and 7th).
Santa Ana has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Performances by Moravia have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Santa Ana carries the favorite tag into this contest.
Our forecast points to a victory for Santa Ana in today's match, at odds of 1.75.
In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Santa Ana has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:1.