Match Info

Date: 14 July 2020, Tuesday


	Santa Clara		Aves

	1	X	2
	1.55	4	6	Watch
	1.57	3.8	5.75
	1.57	3.9	5.5	Watch
	1.57	3.85	5.8
	1.58	4.13	5.94
	1.55	4	6	Watch
	1.59	3.88	6.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.71)	3.94 ↑ (3.78)	5.88 ↑ (4.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santa Clara
60%

Draw
23.9%

Aves
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.7%

24.7%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.7%

20.3%

16.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Clara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Santa Clara's performance.

Aves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Clara than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Santa Clara, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aves than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.2%	7.4%	7.4%

Santa Clara - Aves Predictions

Users Predictions: Santa Clara will win (46 of 54 users predict this - 85.19%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.72% – 94.66%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Santa Clara
Liga Portugal
10.07.20	Sporting Lisbon - Santa Clara	1:0 ✺
03.07.20	Santa Clara - Marítimo	0:1 ✺
28.06.20	Boavista - Santa Clara	1:0 ✺
23.06.20	Benfica - Santa Clara	3:4 ✺
16.06.20	Santa Clara - Portimonense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.9 LLLWT
- CD Aves
Liga Portugal
08.07.20	Aves - Setúbal	1:0 ✺
04.07.20	Braga - Aves	4:0 ✺
29.06.20	Aves - Moreirense	0:1 ✺
21.06.20	Gil Vicente - Aves	3:0 ✺
16.06.20	Aves - Porto	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.6 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
04.01.20	Aves - Santa Clara	0:1
10.03.19	Santa Clara - Aves	0:0
27.10.18	Aves - Santa Clara	1:2
Portuguese League Cup
28.07.18	Aves - Santa Clara	3:2 penalties
Portuguese Liga 2
01.04.17	Aves - Santa Clara	1:0
30.10.16	Santa Clara - Aves	0:2
Club Friendly
11.07.16	Aves - Santa Clara	0:0

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