The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Santa Clara 48.6%
Draw 27.2%
Portimonense 24.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.4%
27.8%
29.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.8%
28.1%
29.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santa Clara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Santa Clara's performance.
Portimonense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Portimonense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Clara than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Santa Clara that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portimonense than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Portimonense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
82.4%
5.9%
11.8%
Santa Clara - Portimonense Predictions
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Santa Clara will win (votes: 14 - 82.4%). Portimonense will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%). Confidence interval (95%) for Santa Clara: 64.3% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2 and 13).
Portimonense has the most likely position - 13 (53.76%), project points - 37, currently - 34, not chance of relegated, not chance of qualify for ucl.
This event has quality42, very small importance0, small match rating21. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Santa Clara won 2.
Santa Clara is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Portimonense is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Santa Clara could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Santa Clara will have a poor advantage in this game.
There will not play in Santa Clara: Quintilla X.
(Injury)
Ricardinho
(Yellow Cards)
Rocha M.
(Injury)
There will not play in Portimonense: Costa G.
(Injury)
Last 19 head-to-head matches Santa Clara won 6 matches, drawn 9 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 18-15.
Including matches at home between the teams Santa Clara won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-6.
Croatia
Portugal
Watch
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