Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 5

Date: 16 September 2023, Saturday

Location: Estádio de São Miguel (Ponta Delgada)

Referee: Bessa J. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV4


	Santa Clara		Penafiel

	1	X	2
	1.44	3.8	7
	1.45	4	7.5	Watch
	1.48	4.21	8.12
	1.44	3.6	6.5
	1.44	4.1	7.2	Watch
	1.43	3.85	7.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.51)	3.93 ↑ (3.7)	7.25 ↑ (5.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santa Clara
63.8%

Draw
23.5%

Penafiel
12.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.7%

24.3%

16%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.6%

23.6%

15.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Clara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Penafiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Clara than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penafiel than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Santa Clara - Penafiel Predictions

Users Predictions: Santa Clara will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gabriel Batista (G) 23. Lima S. 13. Rocha L. 4. Pacheco P. 42. Lucas Soares 35. Serginho 20. Adriano Firmino 32. MT 10. Ricardinho (C) 99. Rafael Martins 19. Almeida B.	1. Silva P. (G) 68. Maga 4. Miguel J. 44. Pereira R. 15. Silva J. 6. Teixeira L. (C) 21. Batista D. 75. Ribeiro R. 8. Reko 30. Silva A. 7. Firmino H.
Substitutes
18. Ageu E. 11. Andrezinho 74. Diaz M. (G) 2. Diogo Calila 16. Henrique P. 9. Joao Marcos 77. Klismahn G. 6. Velazquez S. 70. Vinicius Lopes	26. Brito D. 73. Filipe Ferreira (G) 27. Freitas R. 17. Gabriel Barbosa (Robinho) 5. Pereira B. 13. Pinheiro Edu 10. Silva J. 9. Suker H. 99. Vieira P.
Coaches
Pires L.	Cristovao H.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Santa Clara won 1.

Santa Clara is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Penafiel is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Santa Clara is a favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Santa Clara won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 17-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Santa Clara won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Santa Clara
Portuguese Liga 2
02.09.23	Feirense - Santa Clara	0:2 ✺
27.08.23	Santa Clara - Vilaverdense	2:0 ✺
21.08.23	Leixões - Santa Clara	0:0 ✺
16.08.23	Santa Clara - Torreense	2:0 ✺
Portuguese League Cup
29.07.23	Santa Clara - Tondela	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWTWL
- FC Penafiel
Portuguese Liga 2
02.09.23	Penafiel - Académico de Viseu	0:0 ✺
27.08.23	Oliveirense - Penafiel	3:1 ✺
20.08.23	Feirense - Penafiel	2:0 ✺
13.08.23	Penafiel - Leixões	3:0 ✺
Portuguese League Cup
22.07.23	Nacional - Penafiel	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
28.08.20	Penafiel - Santa Clara	0:4
16.07.19	Penafiel - Santa Clara	2:2
15.07.18	Santa Clara - Penafiel	0:0
Portuguese Liga 2
18.03.18	Penafiel - Santa Clara	3:0
29.10.17	Santa Clara - Penafiel	1:2
Club Friendly
05.07.17	Penafiel - Santa Clara	1:0
Portuguese Liga 2
30.04.17	Penafiel - Santa Clara	1:0

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