Match Info

COSTA RICA: Liga de Ascenso - Clausura - Round 10

Date: 6 March 2025, Thursday


	Santa Cruz PFA		Cariari Pococí

	1	X	2
	2.87	3.3	2.1
	3	3.45	2.09
	2.92	3.45	2.12
	3.14	3.54	2.16	Watch
	3	3.3	2.15
	3.1	3.38	2.08	Watch
	3	3.45	2.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	3 ↑ (2.4)	3.41 ↑ (3.3)	2.11 ↓ (2.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santa Cruz PFA
30.3%

Draw
26.7%

Cariari Pococí
43%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

27.3%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

27.3%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Cruz PFA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Santa Cruz PFA's form might have worsened.

Cariari Pococí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cariari Pococí's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Cruz PFA than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Santa Cruz PFA, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cariari Pococí than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cariari Pococí, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Santa Cruz PFA - Cariari Pococí Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
16', 1 - 0, ⚽,
24', 1 - 1, ⚽,
38', 2 - 1, ⚽,
45+6', 🟥,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
52', 3 - 1, ⚽,
79', 🟥,
84', 4 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 5 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Ascenso (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Antioquia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Antioquia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:4 (average 0.3:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Antioquia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santa Cruz PFA
Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
24.02.25	Santa Cruz PFA - Escorpiones de Belén	0:2 ✺
19.02.25	Desamparados - Santa Cruz PFA	1:2 ✺
15.02.25	Santa Cruz PFA - Aserrí	1:1 ✺
10.02.25	Uruguay de Coronado - Santa Cruz PFA	1:1 ✺
04.02.25	Santa Cruz PFA - Turrialba	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 LWTTW
- AD Cariari Pococí
Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
03.03.25	Escorpiones de Belén - Cariari Pococí	1:0 ✺
23.02.25	Cariari Pococí - Desamparados	4:0 ✺
19.02.25	Aserrí - Cariari Pococí	3:1 ✺
16.02.25	Cariari Pococí - Uruguay de Coronado	1:0 ✺
10.02.25	Turrialba - Cariari Pococí	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
19.01.25	Cariari Pococí - Santa Cruz PFA	1:0
18.09.24	Cariari Pococí - Santa Cruz PFA	2:0
05.08.24	Santa Cruz PFA - Cariari Pococí	1:1

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