The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa 36%
Draw 29.3%
Antigua GFC 34.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.8%
27.1%
32.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.5%
28.2%
30.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
Antigua GFC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Antigua GFC than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa - Antigua GFC Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 11 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Santa Lucía won 1.
Santa Lucía is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Antigua is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Recently Santa Lucía have a series of guest games.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
Last 9 head-to-head matches Santa Lucía won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-9.
Including matches at home between the teams Santa Lucía won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.
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