The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Santa Marta Tormes 44.6%
Draw 29.4%
Atlético Palencia 26%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.9%
29.6%
27.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.4%
28.6%
26.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santa Marta Tormes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
Atlético Palencia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Marta Tormes than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Palencia than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Santa Marta Tormes - Atlético Palencia Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, ⚽,
20', 1 - 1, ⚽,
45', 2 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 8 (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 8 (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santa Marta Tormes won 1.
Recent performances by Santa Marta Tormes have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Atlético Palencia is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Atlético Palencia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Santa Marta Tormes could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Santa Marta Tormes won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1.1:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Santa Marta Tormes won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 1.5:0.5).
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