Match Info

Date: 10 October 2022, Monday

Location: Estadio Municipal Gral. San Martin (Tandil)

Referee: Ceballo C. (Arg)


	Santamarina de Tandil		Güemes

	1	X	2
	2.7	2.87	2.9
	2.65	2.75	2.8
	2.65	2.85	2.75
	2.6	2.85	2.75
	2.87	2.72	3.05
	2.7	2.62	2.88
	2.68	2.72	2.84	Watch
	2.7	2.75	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 (2.69)	2.77 ↓ (2.92)	2.86 ↑ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santamarina de Tandil
34.3%

Draw
33.4%

Güemes
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.9%

32.2%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

33.4%

34.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santamarina de Tandil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Güemes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santamarina de Tandil than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Güemes than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28%	60%	12%

Santamarina de Tandil - Güemes Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Santamarina will win (votes: 7 - 28%). Güemes will win (votes: 3 - 12%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 40.8% – 79.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 37 in the zone Relegation and 27).

Santamarina is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Güemes is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Santamarina could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Santamarina won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Santamarina won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santamarina de Tandil
Argentinian Primera Nacional
03.10.22	All Boys - Santamarina de Tandil	1:0 ✺
26.09.22	Santamarina de Tandil - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	0:2 ✺
18.09.22	San Telmo - Santamarina de Tandil	1:1 ✺
11.09.22	Santamarina de Tandil - Chaco For Ever	2:2 ✺
03.09.22	San Martín de San Juan - Santamarina de Tandil	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLTTL
- CA Güemes
Argentinian Primera Nacional
02.10.22	Güemes - Atlético de Rafaela	1:1 ✺
25.09.22	Guillermo Brown - Güemes	1:1 ✺
18.09.22	Güemes - Chacarita Juniors	0:1 ✺
11.09.22	Brown de Adrogué - Güemes	1:1 ✺
04.09.22	Güemes - Defensores de Belgrano	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
22.10.21	Güemes - Santamarina de Tandil	3:0
27.06.21	Santamarina de Tandil - Güemes	1:2

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