The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Santiago Morning 29.2%
Draw 30.3%
Deportes Concepción 40.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
23.5%
26.1%
50.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22.8%
25.3%
52%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santiago Morning has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Santiago Morning's performance.
Deportes Concepción has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportes Concepción might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santiago Morning than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Santiago Morning that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Concepción than the current prediction. (+11.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportes Concepción could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Santiago Morning - Deportes Concepción Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Canete L. (G) 14. Vasquez K. 3. Guajardo Barrera B. 22. Rigazzi L. 15. Cortes F. 4. Iturra M. 6. Asprea T. 20. Ormeno E. 10. Campillay K. 30. Barrientos J. 9. Cid W.
25. Araya N. (G) 4. Caceres A. 3. Carrasco D. 5. Silva S. (C) 22. L’Huillier N. 6. Astete N. 23. Ojeda U. 14. Martinez S. 18. Saavedra Saavedra F. I. 9. Escobar C. 11. Valdivia B.
Substitutes
1. Arana A. (G) 27. Coronado M. 23. Delgado M. 29. Faundez D. 8. Salazar S. 2. Santelices G. 18. Taiva B.
24. Espinola J. 17. Fernandez C. 7. Gillard A. 32. Larrivey J. 8. Manzo F. 10. Nunez F. 31. Saez I. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
10', Cid W. 🟨,
20', 0 - 1, Ojeda U. ⚽,
38', Vasquez K. 🟨,
45+3', 0 - 2, Escobar C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Ojeda U. ↓, Nunez F. ↑,
46', Ormeno E. ↓, Salazar S. ↑,
46', Barrientos J. ↓, Coronado M. ↑,
51', Caceres A. 🟨,
52', 0 - 3, Saavedra Saavedra F. I. ⚽,
55', Cortes F. ↓, Delgado M. ↑,
58', Campillay K. ↓, Taiva B. ↑,
62', Escobar C. ↓, Larrivey J. ↑,
62', L’Huillier N. ↓, Espinola J. ↑,
72', Saavedra Saavedra F. I. ↓, Gillard A. ↑,
72', Valdivia B. ↓, Manzo F. ↑,
75', Asprea T. ↓, Faundez D. ↑,
84', Salazar S. 🟨,
90+2', Faundez D. 🟥,
Preview
A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 9).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Santiago Morning won 1.
Santiago Morning is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Deportes Concepción is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Deportes Concepción could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Deportes Concepción will have a poor advantage in this game.
Last 8 head-to-head matches Santiago Morning won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12:11 (average 1.5:1.4).
Including matches at home between the teams Santiago Morning won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:5 (average 2.3:1.3).
Watch
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Canete L. (G) 
Rigazzi L. 
Arana A. (G) 
Espinola J. 
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