Match Info

BRAZIL: CAMPEONATO PAULISTA - ROUND 11

Date: 27 February 2023, Monday

Location: Estádio Bruno José Daniel (Sao Paulo)

Referee: Scarascati T. (Bra)


	Santo André		Mirassol

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.1	2.3	Watch
	3	3.1	2.4
	2.9	3.05	2.35
	3.05	3.07	2.43
	3	2.88	2.35
	2.96	3.16	2.38
	2.9	3.05	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↑ (2.7)	3.06 ↑ (2.75)	2.37 ↓ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santo André
31.1%

Draw
30.1%

Mirassol
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.4%

32.8%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9%

34.3%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santo André has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Mirassol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santo André than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mirassol, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	40%	40%

Santo André - Mirassol Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Santo André will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Mirassol will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Santo André is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Mirassol is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Santo André won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Santo André won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santo André
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
19.02.23	Ituano - Santo André	2:0 ✺
16.02.23	Santo André - Santos	1:1 ✺
12.02.23	Internacional de Limeira - Santo André	0:1 ✺
09.02.23	Santo André - Água Santa	0:2 ✺
05.02.23	Santo André - São Paulo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LTWLL
- Mirassol
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
19.02.23	Corinthians - Mirassol	3:0 ✺
16.02.23	Mirassol - Ituano	1:0 ✺
11.02.23	Red Bull Bragantino - Mirassol	0:0 ✺
07.02.23	Mirassol - Ferroviária	4:1 ✺
04.02.23	São Bento - Mirassol	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
06.02.22	Mirassol - Santo André	2:2
06.05.21	Santo André - Mirassol	2:1
15.03.20	Mirassol - Santo André	1:0
29.01.18	Santo André - Mirassol	1:1
18.03.17	Mirassol - Santo André	2:3

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