Match Info

Date: 17 July 2022, Sunday


	Alfonso Ugarte de Puno		Cusco

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.3	1.88
	3.5	3.3	1.85
	3.45	3.4	1.91
	3.72	3.39	1.94
	3.6	3.25	1.91
	3.58	3.58	1.92	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.54 ↓ (3.8)	3.37 ↓ (3.74)	1.9 ↑ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alfonso Ugarte de Puno
25.6%

Draw
26.9%

Cusco
47.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.9%

24.3%

51.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24%

24.4%

51.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alfonso Ugarte de Puno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Cusco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alfonso Ugarte de Puno than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cusco than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	62.5%	12.5%

Alfonso Ugarte de Puno - Cusco Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Alfonso Ugarte will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Cusco will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Recent matches Alfonso Ugarte is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cusco in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Alfonso Ugarte could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Cusco will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Alfonso Ugarte won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alfonso Ugarte de Puno
Peruvian Liga 2
10.07.22	Unión Comercio - Alfonso Ugarte de Puno	4:1 ✺
03.07.22	Alfonso Ugarte de Puno - Comerciantes Unidos	2:0 ✺
26.06.22	Alfonso Ugarte de Puno - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco	2:1 ✺
19.06.22	Juan Aurich - Alfonso Ugarte de Puno	4:3 ✺
12.06.22	Alfonso Ugarte de Puno - Unión Huaral	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWWLT
- Cusco FC
Peruvian Liga 2
03.07.22	Cusco - Unión Comercio	4:1 ✺
26.06.22	Cusco - Comerciantes Unidos	3:2 ✺
19.06.22	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Cusco	0:2 ✺
11.06.22	Cusco - Juan Aurich	2:0 ✺
05.06.22	Unión Huaral - Cusco	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 2
16.04.22	Cusco - Alfonso Ugarte de Puno	2:2

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