Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie B - Round 11

Date: 19 June 2024, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Urbano Caldeira (Santos)

Referee: Pereira de Lima R. J. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Canais Globo, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
World	Amazon Prime Video


	Santos		Goiás

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.5	5.75	Watch
	1.65	3.4	5
	1.65	3.6	5.5
	1.67	3.63	6.12
	1.65	3.63	6.12
	1.62	3.6	5.5
	1.65	3.65	5.41	Watch
	1.64	3.5	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.68)	3.56 ↑ (3.55)	5.6 ↑ (5.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santos
56.9%

Draw
26.3%

Goiás
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

26.4%

17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59%

28%

16.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Goiás has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Goiás than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.3%	4.3%	4.3%

Santos - Goiás Predictions

Users Predictions: Santos will win (20 of 22 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.9% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
77. Gabriel Brazao (G) 44. Joao Pedro Chermont 6. Joaquim 4. Gil 31. Escobar G. 11. Guilherme 21. Diego Pituca (C) 5. Joao Schmidt 7. Pedrinho 20. Giuliano 9. Furch J.	23. Tadeu (G) 20. Diego 14. Lucas Ribeiro 4. David Braz (C) 19. Edson 88. Luiz Henrique 31. Welliton 77. Marcao Silva 18. Breno Herculano 5. Wellington 7. Paulo Baya
Substitutes
13. Aderlan 2. Alex Nascimento 25. Alison Lopes 12. Diogenes (G) 3. Hayner 22. Otero R. 88. Patrick 29. Rodrigo Ferreira 23. Sandry 37. Serginho 42. Weslley Patati 27. Willian Bigode	12. Cristiano 16. Denzel 2. Douglas Borel 90. Halerrandrio 25. Ian Luccas 21. Jhonny Lucas 50. Juninho 70. Nathan Melo 17. Pedrinho 8. Rafael Gava 1. Thiago Rodrigues (G) 3. Yan Souto
Coaches
Fabio Carille	Marcio Zanardi

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Luiz Henrique 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
62', Escobar G. 🟨,
64', Diego ↓, Douglas Borel ↑,
64', Welliton ↓, Pedrinho ↑,
65', Marcao Silva ↓, Juninho ↑,
67', Pedrinho ↓, Otero R. ↑,
67', Furch J. ↓, Willian Bigode ↑,
68', Lucas Ribeiro 🟨,
77', Wellington ↓, Nathan Melo ↑,
77', Giuliano ↓, Serginho ↑,
81', 1 - 0, Tadeu (Own goal),
84', Joao Pedro Chermont ↓, Hayner ↑,
85', 2 - 0, Willian Bigode ⚽, Diego Pituca (A),
87', Escobar G. ↓, Rodrigo Ferreira ↑,
88', Breno Herculano ↓, Denzel ↑,
90+6', Lucas Ribeiro 🟨,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 7 and 5).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Santos won 2.

Santos is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Goiás is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Goiás could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Santos is a favorite.

There will not play in Santos: Joao Paulo (Injury) Kevyson (Injury) Rodrigo Falcao (Injury) Weslley Patati (Injury) Zabala L. (Injury)

There will not play in Goiás: Messias (Injury) Regis (Injury)

Last 14 head-to-head matches Santos won 9 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 33-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Santos won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 20-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santos FC
Brazilian Serie B
14.06.24	Operário Ferroviario - Santos	1:0 ✺
07.06.24	Grêmio Novorizontino - Santos	3:1 ✺
03.06.24	Santos - Botafogo SP	1:2 ✺
24.05.24	América Mineiro - Santos	2:1 ✺
19.05.24	Santos - Brusque	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLLW
- Goiás EC
Brazilian Serie B
16.06.24	Goiás - Coritiba	1:1 ✺
11.06.24	Mirassol - Goiás	1:0 ✺
31.05.24	Goiás - Sport Recife	3:0 ✺
27.05.24	Avaí - Goiás	2:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
23.05.24	Cuiabá - Goiás	1:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
09.11.23	Goiás - Santos	0:1
09.07.23	Santos - Goiás	4:3
05.09.22	Santos - Goiás	1:2
15.05.22	Goiás - Santos	1:0
24.01.21	Santos - Goiás	3:4
04.10.20	Goiás - Santos	2:3
09.11.19	Goiás - Santos	0:3

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