Match Info

Date: 12 August 2021, Thursday


	Santos		Libertad Asuncion

	1	X	2
	2	3.1	3.8	Watch
	1.95	3.2	3.7
	1.91	3.2	3.8	Watch
	1.97	3.1	4
	1.97	3.27	4.29
	1.95	3.2	3.9	Watch
	1.89	3.42	4.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.74)	3.21 ↓ (3.56)	3.96 ↓ (4.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santos
47.7%

Draw
28.9%

Libertad Asuncion
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.2%

26%

20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.4%

20.8%

16.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Santos's form might have worsened.

Libertad Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos than the current prediction. (+18.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Santos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Libertad Asuncion than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Libertad Asuncion, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Santos - Libertad Asuncion Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

1st leg.

Recent matches Santos is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Libertad is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Libertad could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Santos will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santos FC
Brazilian Serie A
08.08.21	Santos - Corinthians	0:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
05.08.21	Juazeirense - Santos	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
01.08.21	Chapecoense - Santos	0:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
28.07.21	Santos - Juazeirense	4:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
25.07.21	Santos - Atlético Goianiense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TLWWL
- Libertad Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
07.08.21	Nacional Asuncion - Libertad Asuncion	1:0 ✺
31.07.21	Libertad Asuncion - Sol de América	1:1 ✺
25.07.21	Cerro Porteño - Libertad Asuncion	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
21.07.21	Libertad Asuncion - Junior Barranquilla	0:1 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
18.07.21	Libertad Asuncion - Guaireña	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LTTLT

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