The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Santos Laguna 46.9%
Draw 26.5%
Juárez 26.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.9%
25.5%
29.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.1%
23.4%
32.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santos Laguna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
Juárez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santos Laguna than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Santos Laguna that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juárez than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juárez could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
50%
0%
Santos Laguna - Juárez Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Santos Laguna will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Acevedo C. (G) 18. Pardo F. (C) 25. Sanchez F. 14. Orona E. 3. Cuevas M. 23. Caseres F. 21. Villalba F. 7. Gonzalez D. 77. Palacios K. 10. Bullaude E. 19. Aguirre E.
1. Jurado S. (C) 33. Nevarez Pulgarin F. J. 3. Murillo J. 2. Sepulveda G. 4. Mayorga A. 13. Rodrigo Dourado 6. Monchu 5. Garcia D. 10. Torres Ramirez I. J. M. 11. Rodriguez J. 19. Estupinan O.
Substitutes
4. Abella J. 17. Echeverria E. 193. Gomez L. 6. Guemez J. 33. Holguin H. (G) 29. Jimenez T. 20. Lozano E. 8. Mariscal Murra S. 28. Perez J. 26. Sordo R.
20. Aquino J. 17. Dupuy L. 7. Fulgencio R. 8. Guilherme Castilho 14. Lopez E. 9. Madson 23. Ortega H. 21. Ricardinho 27. Ruiz G. (G) 16. Sigala J.
Coaches
Alves R.
Lema G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Orona E. 🟨,
20', Estupinan O. 🟨,
27', Gonzalez D. 🟨,
27', Monchu 🟨,
33', Orona E. ↓, Echeverria E. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
52', Echeverria E. 🟨,
54', 0 - 1, Estupinan O. (Penalty Awarded),
56', Aguirre E. ↓, Lozano E. ↑,
58', Torres Ramirez I. J. M. ↓, Dupuy L. ↑,
58', Rodrigo Dourado ↓, Sigala J. ↑,
64', 1 - 1, Bullaude E. ⚽, Cuevas M. (A),
68', Estupinan O. ↓, Madson ↑,
68', Nevarez Pulgarin F. J. ↓, Aquino J. ↑,
73', Cuevas M. 🟨,
78', 2 - 1, Lozano E. ⚽, Bullaude E. (A),
79', Monchu ↓, Ricardinho ↑,
82', Gonzalez D. ↓, Sordo R. ↑,
82', Villalba F. ↓, Guemez J. ↑,
82', Palacios K. ↓, Gomez L. ↑,
88', Murillo J. 🟨,
90', Pardo F. (Penalty Awarded),
90+1', Garcia D. 🟨,
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 and 18).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santos Laguna won 0.
Santos Laguna has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Juárez is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Santos Laguna may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Santos Laguna will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Santos Laguna: Amione B.
(Knee Injury)
Di Yorio L.
(Leg Injury)
There will not play in Juárez: Romero L.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Santos Laguna: Lozano C.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Juárez: Ayon E.
(Injury)
Romero B.
(Knee Injury)
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Santos Laguna won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 32:21. (average 1.8:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Santos Laguna won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 20:8. (average 2.2:0.9).