Match Info

ARGENTINA: Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 9

Date: 8 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Eva Peron (Junin)

Referee: Merlos A. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


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World	Disney+, TyC Sports Internacional


	Sarmiento de Junín		Barracas Central

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.8	3.7	Watch
	2.37	2.75	3.5
	2.38	2.8	3.5	Watch
	2.38	2.84	3.88
	2.33	2.83	3.74	Watch
	2.28	2.99	3.59	Watch
	2.38	2.8	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↓ (2.64)	2.83 ↓ (3.18)	3.63 ↑ (2.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

Watch this match and Argentinian Liga Profesional with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: TyC Sports

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Current Win Probability

Sarmiento de Junín
40.4%

Draw
33.5%

Barracas Central
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.7%

29.6%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

29.4%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sarmiento de Junín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Barracas Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Barracas Central might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarmiento de Junín than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barracas Central than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Barracas Central could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	80%	20%

Sarmiento de Junín - Barracas Central Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Barracas Central will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
42. Acosta L. (G) 44. Orihuela R. 14. Roncaglia F. 36. Morales S. 33. Diaz G. 28. Gho J. 25. Villalba C. 23. Gimenez E. 22. Burgoa V. 10. Carabajal G. 18. Morales I.	28. Ledesma M. (G) 13. Barrios R. 15. Rak Y. 14. Jappert K. 6. Insua R. 5. Miloc D. 23. Tapia I. 24. Duarte M. 9. Morales G. 20. Candia J. 31. Demartini N.
Substitutes
26. Arismendi Y. 12. Ayala T. (G) 20. Frias F. 5. Garcia M. 31. Guiacobini T. 7. Magnin P. 8. Paradela F. 34. Seyral A. 15. Suhr L. 17. Vallejos J. 21. Vigo A.	10. Barrios N. 17. Blandi N. 7. Bruera F. 2. Capraro N. 16. Guaraz I. A. 33. Mater F. 30. Mino M. (G) 35. Perugini T. 19. Porra T. 79. Puig M. 8. Rosane S. 21. Tapia I.
Coaches
Sanguinetti J.	Insua R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
4', Villalba C. 🟨,
45+2', Diaz G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', Duarte M. ↓, Barrios N. ↑,
54', Tapia I. ↓, Rosane S. ↑,
56', Burgoa V. ↓, Magnin P. ↑,
56', Carabajal G. ↓, Suhr L. ↑,
68', 1 - 0, Magnin P. ⚽,
69', Miloc D. ↓, Bruera F. ↑,
70', Orihuela R. 🟨,
72', Gho J. 🟨,
76', Gho J. ↓, Arismendi Y. ↑,
77', Acosta L. 🟨,
79', Gimenez E. ↓, Seyral A. ↑,
79', Morales I. ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
81', Demartini N. ↓, Porra T. ↑,
85', Suhr L. 🟥,
90+8', 1 - 1, Morales G. ⚽, Porra T. (A),

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sarmiento won 0.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Sarmiento will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Sarmiento: Monaco M. (Knee Injury) Rosales M. (Injury) Suhr L. (Injury)

There will not play in Barracas Central: Irazoque A. (Knee Injury) Kruger F. (Inactive) Ruiz J. (Inactive) Tapia I. (Inactive)

Last 6 head-to-head matches Sarmiento won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:10 (average 1.2:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Sarmiento won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:5 (average 1.5:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sarmiento de Junín
Argentinian Liga Profesional
01.03.25	Aldosivi - Sarmiento de Junín	2:2 ✺
22.02.25	Rosario Central - Sarmiento de Junín	1:0 ✺
17.02.25	Sarmiento de Junín - Deportivo Riestra	2:1 ✺
13.02.25	Atlético Tucumán - Sarmiento de Junín	5:0 ✺
06.02.25	Sarmiento de Junín - San Martín de San Juan	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TLWLT
- Barracas Central
Argentinian Liga Profesional
03.03.25	Barracas Central - Godoy Cruz	1:2 ✺
24.02.25	Barracas Central - Newells Old Boys	2:0 ✺
15.02.25	Defensa y Justicia - Barracas Central	1:1 ✺
11.02.25	Barracas Central - Central Córdoba	3:3 ✺
06.02.25	Aldosivi - Barracas Central	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 LWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
19.05.24	Barracas Central - Sarmiento de Junín	1:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
24.02.24	Sarmiento de Junín - Barracas Central	0:0
02.10.23	Barracas Central - Sarmiento de Junín	1:1
Argentinian Liga Profesional
04.02.23	Sarmiento de Junín - Barracas Central	3:5
08.10.22	Barracas Central - Sarmiento de Junín	1:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
18.03.22	Barracas Central - Sarmiento de Junín	2:1

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