Match Info

Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 14

Date: 13 April 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio Eva Peron (Junin)

Referee: Carranza A. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	HBO Max, TNT Sports
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Inter
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Sarmiento de Junín		Gimnasia La Plata

	1	X	2
	2.4	2.85	3.2
	2.55	2.82	3.15
	2.58	2.99	3.33
	2.51	2.9	3.24
	2.4	2.8	3.2
	2.5	2.83	3.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (2.35)	2.87 ↓ (3.03)	3.22 ↑ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sarmiento de Junín
37.8%

Draw
32.9%

Gimnasia La Plata
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

30.6%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40%

30.3%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sarmiento de Junín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Gimnasia La Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarmiento de Junín than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia La Plata than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	70%	10%

Sarmiento de Junín - Gimnasia La Plata Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Sarmiento will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Gimnasia La Plata will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Burrai J. (G) 29. Santamaria T. 34. Seyral A. 2. Insaurralde J. (C) 3. Suarez L. 5. Garcia M. 14. Martinez M. 10. Renteria J. 25. Villalba C. 8. Salle S. 27. Marabel J.	23. Insfran N. (G) 25. Steimbach A. 4. Giampaoli R. 21. Martinez E. 24. Silva Torrejon P. 8. Fernandez N. (C) 5. Miramon I. 16. Max A. 10. Schelotto N. 32. Torres M. 29. Auzmendi A.
Substitutes
35. Alaggia F. 26. Arismendi Y. 12. Ayala T. (G) 4. Cabrera J. M. 33. Diaz G. 18. Gimenez O. 11. Gomez J. 7. Magnin P. 40. Marquez B. 30. Monaco M. 77. Pasquini N. 15. Zabala C.	33. Aguiar P. 31. Barros Schelotto B. 28. Bolzan C. 19. Castro L. 35. Cortazzo J. 13. German Conti 27. Kadijevic J. (G) 22. Melluso M. 7. Panaro M. 18. Seoane M. 26. Torres F. 43. Zalazar M.
Coaches
Sava F.	Zaniratto F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', Villalba C. ↓, Zabala C. ↑,
15', Fernandez N. 🟨,
32', Renteria J. ↓, Magnin P. ↑,
33', Zabala C. 🟨,
36', Garcia M. 🟨,
43', 0 - 1, Auzmendi A. ⚽, Steimbach A. (A),
45+3', Martinez E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Garcia M. ↓, Arismendi Y. ↑,
50', 1 - 1, Magnin P. ⚽, Salle S. (A),
63', Schelotto N. ↓, Seoane M. ↑,
63', Fernandez N. ↓, Zalazar M. ↑,
77', Miramon I. ↓, Panaro M. ↑,
77', Torres M. ↓, Torres F. ↑,
81', 🟨,
82', Suarez L. ↓, Pasquini N. ↑,
82', Salle S. ↓, Marquez B. ↑,
87', Santamaria T. 🟨,
88', Auzmendi A. ↓, Bolzan C. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 2, Torres F. ⚽, Steimbach A. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento won 0.

Sarmiento is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Gimnasia La Plata has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Sarmiento is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Sarmiento: Contrera J. (Yellow Cards) Godoy J. (Knee Injury) Gonzalez G. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Gimnasia La Plata: Di Biasi F. (Knee Injury) Mammini I. (Knee Injury)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 0.5:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Sarmiento won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.4:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Gimnasia La Plata - the odds 3.12 are the expected chance of winning is 29.79%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sarmiento de Junín
Copa Argentina
08.04.26	Sarmiento de Junín - Tristán Suárez	1:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
02.04.26	Barracas Central - Sarmiento de Junín	1:2 ✺
22.03.26	Sarmiento de Junín - Aldosivi	2:0 ✺
15.03.26	River Plate - Sarmiento de Junín	2:0 ✺
10.03.26	Sarmiento de Junín - Racing	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WWWLT
- Gimnasia La Plata
Copa Argentina
09.04.26	Gimnasia La Plata - Deportivo Camioneros	4:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
05.04.26	Gimnasia La Plata - Huracán Buenos Aires	0:3 ✺
20.03.26	Atlético Tucumán - Gimnasia La Plata	1:0 ✺
15.03.26	Gimnasia La Plata - Independiente Rivadavia	2:3 ✺
11.03.26	Banfield - Gimnasia La Plata	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
04.10.25	Sarmiento de Junín - Gimnasia La Plata	0:1
30.03.25	Gimnasia La Plata - Sarmiento de Junín	0:0
18.10.24	Sarmiento de Junín - Gimnasia La Plata	1:1
27.05.23	Gimnasia La Plata - Sarmiento de Junín	0:0
28.08.22	Sarmiento de Junín - Gimnasia La Plata	0:0
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
14.04.22	Gimnasia La Plata - Sarmiento de Junín	1:3
Argentinian Liga Profesional
03.10.21	Gimnasia La Plata - Sarmiento de Junín	0:1

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