Match Info

Liga Profesional - Clausura - Round 3

Date: 3 August 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio Eva Peron (Junin)

Referee: Echavarria P. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN 2, ESPN, ESPN Premium
Austria	Laola1
Bolivia	ESPN
Brazil	Disney+
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Colombia	Disney+
Germany	Laola1
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	Disney+


	Sarmiento de Junín		Independiente Rivadavia

	1	X	2
	2.75	2.85	2.75	Watch
	3.50	3.00	2.20
	2.82	3.05	2.72	Watch
	2.92	3.12	2.78
	3.18	3.05	2.44	Watch
	2.8	3.05	2.7
	3	2.95	2.71	Watch
	2.8	3	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.97 ↓ (3.29)	3.01 ↑ (2.92)	2.62 ↑ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sarmiento de Junín
32%

Draw
31.6%

Independiente Rivadavia
36.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.4%

31.9%

39.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sarmiento de Junín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Independiente Rivadavia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.3%	20%	66.7%

Sarmiento de Junín - Independiente Rivadavia Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Sarmiento will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Independiente R will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Independiente R: 42.8% – 90.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sarmiento (votes: 1 - 50%). Independiente R (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (2.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Ayala T. (G) 8. Salle S. 44. Orihuela R. 2. Insaurralde J. (C) 3. Suarez L. 19. Contrera J. 15. Zabala C. 16. Martinez M. 21. Mavilla J. 24. Herrera J. 27. Marabel J.	30. Bolcato N. (G) 20. Riep A. 40. Villalba I. (C) 13. Osella A. 27. Crego D. 5. Bottari T. 32. Vazquez K. A. 8. Bucca L. 19. Atencio R. 43. Sartori F. 10. Fernandez M.
Substitutes
35. Alaggia F. 1. Arboleda I. (G) 6. Arturia G. 33. Diaz G. 9. Diego Churin 5. Garcia M. 23. Gimenez E. 20. Gimenez U. 11. Gonzalez G. 7. Magnin P. 10. Renteria J. 29. Santamaria T.	9. Arce A. 2. Costa L. 3. Elordi J. M. 25. Florentin Bobadilla J. I. 21. Gomez Riga E. F. (G) 34. Moreyra S. 7. Ramis V. 11. Rios G. 45. Sabato L. 55. Salvo M. 77. Sequeira L. 42. Studer S.
Coaches
Sava F.	Berti A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
12', 1 - 0, Martinez M. ⚽,
31', Fernandez M. (Penalty Awarded),
31', 1 - 1, Fernandez M. ⚽,
37', 2 - 1, Mavilla J. ⚽,
41', Martinez M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Fernandez M. ↓, Arce A. ↑,
46', Atencio R. ↓, Sequeira L. ↑,
46', Bottari T. ↓, Florentin Bobadilla J. I. ↑,
53', Contrera J. ↓, Gimenez U. ↑,
64', Bucca L. ↓, Rios G. ↑,
73', Mavilla J. ↓, Gonzalez G. ↑,
73', Marabel J. ↓, Diego Churin ↑,
79', Sartori F. ↓, Elordi J. M. ↑,
87', Herrera J. ↓, Arturia G. ↑,
90+3', Villalba I. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento won 2.

Independiente R might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Sarmiento: Godoy J. (Knee Injury) Seyral A. (Inactive) Villalba C. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Independiente R: Bonifacio E. (Inactive) Macagno R. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 0.8:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Sarmiento won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 0.6:0.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Sarmiento de Junín - the odds 3.29 are the expected chance of winning is 28.39%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sarmiento de Junín
Argentinian Liga Profesional
28.07.26	Banfield - Sarmiento de Junín	3:2 ✺
23.07.26	Sarmiento de Junín - Argentinos Juniors	2:3 ✺
Copa Argentina
16.07.26	Sarmiento de Junín - Boca Juniors	0:2 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
03.05.26	Belgrano - Sarmiento de Junín	4:0 ✺
25.04.26	Sarmiento de Junín - Tigre	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLLLW
- Independiente Rivadavia
Argentinian Liga Profesional
30.07.26	Independiente Rivadavia - Huracán Buenos Aires	2:1 ✺
26.07.26	Atlético Tucumán - Independiente Rivadavia	0:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
12.07.26	Independiente Rivadavia - Tigre	1:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
27.05.26	Bolívar - Independiente Rivadavia	1:3 ✺
21.05.26	Deportivo La Guaira - Independiente Rivadavia	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
03.02.26	Independiente Rivadavia - Sarmiento de Junín	2:1
26.05.24	Sarmiento de Junín - Independiente Rivadavia	0:1
Argentinian Primera Nacional
25.05.19	Sarmiento de Junín - Independiente Rivadavia	2:0
18.05.19	Independiente Rivadavia - Sarmiento de Junín	0:1
12.03.19	Independiente Rivadavia - Sarmiento de Junín	0:0
18.03.18	Independiente Rivadavia - Sarmiento de Junín	0:1
05.10.14	Independiente Rivadavia - Sarmiento de Junín	0:2

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