Match Info

Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 3

Date: 25 July 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio Eva Peron (Junin)

Referee: Arasa N. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Mexico	Disney+, Fanatiz
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Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fanatiz
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World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Sarmiento de Junín		Lanús

	1	X	2
	3.5	2.5	2.35	Watch
	3.5	2.9	2.25
	3.7	2.68	2.38	Watch
	3.76	2.72	2.5
	3.91	2.63	2.34	Watch
	3.5	2.88	2.3
	3.67	2.63	2.47	Watch
	2.36	3.15	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.49 ↑ (2.47)	2.76 ↓ (3.18)	2.44 ↓ (2.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sarmiento de Junín
27.1%

Draw
34.2%

Lanús
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

29.8%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sarmiento de Junín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sarmiento de Junín's form might have worsened.

Lanús has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lanús's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.3%	33.3%	53.3%

Sarmiento de Junín - Lanús Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Sarmiento will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Lanús will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lanús: 28.1% – 78.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Sarmiento (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
42. Acosta L. (G) 17. Vallejos J. 14. Roncaglia F. 2. Insaurralde J. 39. Godoy J. 19. Contrera J. 23. Gimenez E. 25. Villalba C. 22. Gonzalez G. 9. Ardaiz J. 11. Rodriguez S.	26. Losada N. (G) 4. Perez G. 2. Munoz E. (C) 35. De Jesus R. 6. Marcich S. 30. Cardozo A. 5. Pena Biafore F. 11. Salvio E. 8. Watson F. N. 23. Carrera R. 19. Castillo R.
Substitutes
26. Arismendi Y. 1. Ayala T. (G) 33. Diaz G. 20. Frias F. 29. Gomez J. 24. Molina A. 18. Morales I. 36. Morales S. 44. Orihuela R. 10. Paradela F. 15. Suhr L. 21. Vigo A.	7. Acosta L. 25. Aquino D. 9. Bou W. 20. Cabrera B. 13. Canale Dominguez J. 14. Canelo A. 39. Medina A. 21. Mendez A. 17. Morales L. (G) 3. Morgantini N. 33. Ramirez J. 36. Segovia A.
Coaches
Sanguinetti J.	Pellegrino M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
8', Contrera J. 🟨,
10', 0 - 1, Castillo R. ⚽, Watson F. N. (A),
44', 0 - 2, Castillo R. ⚽, Pena Biafore F. (A),
45+2', Carrera R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Gimenez E. 🟨,
57', Rodriguez S. ↓, Morales I. ↑,
57', Gimenez E. ↓, Gomez J. ↑,
57', Vallejos J. ↓, Vigo A. ↑,
72', Castillo R. ↓, Canelo A. ↑,
74', Cardozo A. 🟨,
75', 🟨,
80', Cardozo A. ↓, Medina A. ↑,
80', Watson F. N. ↓, Ramirez J. ↑,
81', Godoy J. ↓, Diaz G. ↑,
84', Contrera J. ↓, Suhr L. ↑,
90', Salvio E. ↓, Acosta L. ↑,
90', Carrera R. ↓, Aquino D. ↑,
90+4', Gomez J. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento won 0.

Lanús is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Sarmiento: Magnin P. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Lanús: Izquierdoz C. (Red Card) Loaiza R. (Knee Injury) Ortellado F. (Knee Injury)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 0.7:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Sarmiento won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 0.8:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sarmiento de Junín
Argentinian Liga Profesional
19.07.25	Godoy Cruz - Sarmiento de Junín	0:0 ✺
13.07.25	Sarmiento de Junín - Independiente	2:2 ✺
03.05.25	Sarmiento de Junín - San Lorenzo	1:1 ✺
27.04.25	Instituto Córdoba - Sarmiento de Junín	1:1 ✺
20.04.25	Sarmiento de Junín - Platense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 TTTTL
- CA Lanús
Argentinian Liga Profesional
19.07.25	Lanús - Rosario Central	0:1 ✺
14.07.25	Deportivo Riestra - Lanús	1:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
27.05.25	Lanús - Academia Puerto Cabello	2:2 ✺
Copa Argentina
21.05.25	Lanús - Vélez Sársfield	2:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
13.05.25	Lanús - Vasco da Gama	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
01.02.25	Lanús - Sarmiento de Junín	2:0
30.08.24	Sarmiento de Junín - Lanús	0:0
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
14.02.24	Sarmiento de Junín - Lanús	0:1
18.09.23	Lanús - Sarmiento de Junín	0:0
Argentinian Liga Profesional
22.04.23	Lanús - Sarmiento de Junín	2:1
05.08.22	Sarmiento de Junín - Lanús	2:1
04.09.21	Lanús - Sarmiento de Junín	1:1

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