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Current Win Probability
Sarmiento de Junín 37.8%
Draw 30.4%
Colón 31.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.5%
30.2%
30.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39%
30.6%
30.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sarmiento de Junín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
Colón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarmiento de Junín than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colón than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
42.9%
52.4%
4.8%
Sarmiento de Junín - Colón Predictions
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Sarmiento will win (votes: 9 - 42.9%). Colón will win (votes: 1 - 4.8%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 52.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 31% – 73.8%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Colón has the most likely position - 24 (5.37%), has project points - 34, has currently - 10, has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Two teams are playing changeable.
Sarmiento de Junín could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
There will not play in Sarmiento de Junín: Acosta L.
(Injury)
Femia N.
(Injury)
Lopez L.
(Injury)
Mancilla H.
(Injury)
There will not play in Colón: Delgado R.
(Injury)
Meza E.
(Injury)
Teuten A.
(Injury)
Vega C.
(Injury)
Last 4 head-to-head matches Sarmiento de Junín won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-5.
Including matches at home between the teams Sarmiento de Junín won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-4.