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Sassuolo - Como

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Match Info

  • Serie A - Round 33
  • Date: 17 April 2026, Friday ๐Ÿ Finished
  • Location: Mapei Stadium โ€“ Cittร  del Tricolore (Reggio Emilia) ๐ŸŒค๏ธ ...
  • Referee: Fourneau F. (Ita)
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    Sassuolo Como
    Sassuolo Como
    1 X 2
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    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 6.33 ↑
    (4.77)    		 4.5 ↑
    (3.97)    		 1.49 ↓
    (1.68)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

    • The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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    Current Win Probability

    Sassuolo
    15%    		Draw
    21.1%    		Como
    63.8%

    Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
    19.8% 23.8% 56.3%

    Our Initial ML Estimation
    19.2% 23.1% 57.7%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
  • Sassuolo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • Como has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Como's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sassuolo than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Como than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Como, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

    • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    4.4% 13.3% 82.2%

    Sassuolo - Como Predictions

  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -0.75 - Como (1.65) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Como will win (36 of 44 users predict this - 81.82%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 70.42% โ€“ 93.22%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Como will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) ๐Ÿฅ‰ Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Como (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
    13. ItalyTurati S. (G)
      6. PolandWalukiewicz S.
    80. BosniaMuharemovic T.
    21. IndonesiaIdzes J.
    25. MaliCoulibaly W.
    90. CanadaKone I.
    18. SerbiaMatic N. (C)
    42. NorwayThorstvedt K.
      7. ItalyVolpato C.
      8. AngolaNzola M.
    45. FranceLauriente A.
    		  1. FranceButez J. (G)
    28. CroatiaSmolcic I.
    14. SpainRamon J.
      2. GermanyKempf M. O.
    18. SpainMoreno A.
    33. FranceDa Cunha L. (C)
      6. FranceCaqueret M.
    38. SenegalDiao A.
    10. ArgentinaPaz N.
    20. CroatiaBaturina M.
      7. SpainMorata A.
    Substitutes
    20. GambiaFadera A.
    33. ItalyFrangella C.
    23. SwitzerlandGarcia U.
    44. ItalyIannoni E.
    35. ItalyLipani L.
    24. ItalyMoro L.
    49. KosovoMuric A. (G)
    66. BrazilPedro Felipe
    99. ItalyPinamonti A.
    12. ItalySatalino G. (G)
    40. BelgiumVranckx A.
    16. ItalyZacchi G. (G)
    		44. CroatiaCavlina N. (G)
    34. BrazilDiego Carlos
    11. GreeceDouvikas A.
      5. ItalyGoldaniga E.
    19. GermanyKuhn N.
    23. ArgentinaPerrone M.
    17. SpainRodriguez J.
    21. SwedenTornqvist N. (G)
      3. SpainValle A.
    77. BelgiumVan der Brempt I.
    22. ItalyVigorito M. (G)
    31. KosovoVojvoda M.
    Coaches
         ItalyGrosso F.
    		     SpainFabregas C.

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (2 - 1)
    • 14', Ramon J. 🟨,
    • 26', Morata A. 🟨,
    • 42', 1 - 0, Volpato C. ⚽, Nzola M. (A),
    • 44', 2 - 0, Nzola M. ⚽, Lauriente A. (A),
    • 45+2', 2 - 1, Paz N. ⚽, Smolcic I. (A),
    • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
    • 46', Smolcic I. ↓, Vojvoda M. ↑,
    • 46', Caqueret M. ↓, Perrone M. ↑,
    • 46', Baturina M. ↓, Douvikas A. ↑,
    • 51', Kone I. 🟨,
    • 60', Diao A. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
    • 64', Volpato C. 🟨,
    • 64', Volpato C. ↓, Fadera A. ↑,
    • 72', Da Cunha L. ↓, Kuhn N. ↑,
    • 76', Nzola M. ↓, Pinamonti A. ↑,
    • 77', Matic N. ↓, Lipani L. ↑,
    • 79', Moreno A. 🟨,
    • 82', Thorstvedt K. 🟨,

    Preview

  • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).
  • Sassuolo is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
  • Como is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins โ€“ 3).
  • In this match, Como is a strong favorite.
  • There will not play in Sassuolo: Berardi D. (Red Card) Boloca D. (Muscle Injury) Cande F. (Knee Injury) Doig J. (Yellow Cards) Pieragnolo E. (Knee Injury) Romagna F. (Knee Injury)
  • There will not play in Como: Addai J. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
  • There are questionable in Sassuolo: Bakola D. (Injury) Vranckx A. (Injury)
  • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sassuolo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:5. (average 0:2.5).

    • Standings

    PlWDLDiffPts
    4Como962117:8920
    15Sassuolo922514:22-88

    Outrights of Italian Serie A for now
    Como: 5.43% Sassuolo: 0.18%
    Last Results with these Odds

    Como - the odds 1.68 are the expected chance of winning is 56.32%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

    Form
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - US Sassuolo
    Italian Serie A
    12.04.26 Genoa - Sassuolo 2:1 ✺
    04.04.26 Sassuolo - Cagliari 2:1 ✺
    21.03.26 Juventus - Sassuolo 1:1 ✺
    15.03.26 Sassuolo - Bologna 0:1 ✺
    09.03.26 Lazio - Sassuolo 2:1 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7
    LWTLL
    - Calcio Como
    Italian Serie A
    12.04.26 Como - Inter Milan 3:4 ✺
    06.04.26 Udinese - Como 0:0 ✺
    22.03.26 Como - Pisa 5:0 ✺
    15.03.26 Como - Roma 2:1 ✺
    07.03.26 Cagliari - Como 1:2 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2
    LTWWW
    Latest Head to Head
    Italian Serie A
    28.11.25 Como - Sassuolo 2:0
    Coppa Italia
    24.09.25 Como - Sassuolo 3:0
    Upcoming Matches
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - US Sassuolo
    Italian Serie A
    02.11.26 Sassuolo - Fiorentina ✺
    - Calcio Como
    UEFA Champions League
    04.11.26 Lens - Como ✺
    Italian Serie A
    01.11.26 Como - Venezia ✺

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