Match Info

Serie A - Round 33

Date: 17 April 2026, Friday

Location: Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore (Reggio Emilia)

Referee: Fourneau F. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


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World	Starzplay Sports app


	Sassuolo		Como

	1	X	2
	6.25	4.5	1.48	Watch
	6.4	4.45	1.49	Watch
	6.8	4.6	1.51
	6.19	4.37	1.52	Watch
	6	4.2	1.44
	6.33	4.86	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.33 ↑ (4.77)	4.5 ↑ (3.97)	1.49 ↓ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sassuolo
15%

Draw
21.1%

Como
63.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.8%

23.8%

56.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.3%

23.2%

57.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sassuolo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Como has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Como's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sassuolo than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Como than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Como, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
4.4%	13.3%	82.2%

Sassuolo - Como Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Como (1.65) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Como will win (36 of 44 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.42% – 93.22%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Como will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Como (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Turati S. (G) 6. Walukiewicz S. 80. Muharemovic T. 21. Idzes J. 25. Coulibaly W. 90. Kone I. 18. Matic N. (C) 42. Thorstvedt K. 7. Volpato C. 8. Nzola M. 45. Lauriente A.	1. Butez J. (G) 28. Smolcic I. 14. Ramon J. 2. Kempf M. O. 18. Moreno A. 33. Da Cunha L. (C) 6. Caqueret M. 38. Diao A. 10. Paz N. 20. Baturina M. 7. Morata A.
Substitutes
20. Fadera A. 33. Frangella C. 23. Garcia U. 44. Iannoni E. 35. Lipani L. 24. Moro L. 49. Muric A. (G) 66. Pedro Felipe 99. Pinamonti A. 12. Satalino G. (G) 40. Vranckx A. 16. Zacchi G. (G)	44. Cavlina N. (G) 34. Diego Carlos 11. Douvikas A. 5. Goldaniga E. 19. Kuhn N. 23. Perrone M. 17. Rodriguez J. 21. Tornqvist N. (G) 3. Valle A. 77. Van der Brempt I. 22. Vigorito M. (G) 31. Vojvoda M.
Coaches
Grosso F.	Fabregas C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
14', Ramon J. 🟨,
26', Morata A. 🟨,
42', 1 - 0, Volpato C. ⚽, Nzola M. (A),
44', 2 - 0, Nzola M. ⚽, Lauriente A. (A),
45+2', 2 - 1, Paz N. ⚽, Smolcic I. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Smolcic I. ↓, Vojvoda M. ↑,
46', Caqueret M. ↓, Perrone M. ↑,
46', Baturina M. ↓, Douvikas A. ↑,
51', Kone I. 🟨,
60', Diao A. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
64', Volpato C. 🟨,
64', Volpato C. ↓, Fadera A. ↑,
72', Da Cunha L. ↓, Kuhn N. ↑,
76', Nzola M. ↓, Pinamonti A. ↑,
77', Matic N. ↓, Lipani L. ↑,
79', Moreno A. 🟨,
82', Thorstvedt K. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).

Sassuolo is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Como is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Como is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Sassuolo: Berardi D. (Red Card) Boloca D. (Muscle Injury) Cande F. (Knee Injury) Doig J. (Yellow Cards) Pieragnolo E. (Knee Injury) Romagna F. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Como: Addai J. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There are questionable in Sassuolo: Bakola D. (Injury) Vranckx A. (Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sassuolo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:5. (average 0:2.5).

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Como: 6.45% Sassuolo: 0.25%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Como	5	3	1	1	9:6	3	10
10	Sassuolo	5	2	1	2	9:9	0	7

Last Results with these Odds

Como - the odds 1.68 are the expected chance of winning is 56.32%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Sassuolo
Italian Serie A
12.04.26	Genoa - Sassuolo	2:1 ✺
04.04.26	Sassuolo - Cagliari	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	Juventus - Sassuolo	1:1 ✺
15.03.26	Sassuolo - Bologna	0:1 ✺
09.03.26	Lazio - Sassuolo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LWTLL
- Calcio Como
Italian Serie A
12.04.26	Como - Inter Milan	3:4 ✺
06.04.26	Udinese - Como	0:0 ✺
22.03.26	Como - Pisa	5:0 ✺
15.03.26	Como - Roma	2:1 ✺
07.03.26	Cagliari - Como	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
28.11.25	Como - Sassuolo	2:0
Coppa Italia
24.09.25	Como - Sassuolo	3:0

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