What is the expert prediction for Como vs Roma?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Como vs Roma. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Como vs Roma Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Sunday, March 15, 2026)

Match Info

Serie A - Round 29

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia (Como)

Referee: Massa D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, Sporty TV, ZAP
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Angola	Z Sports 2
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 4, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	DAZN
Bolivia	ESPN 4
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Disney+, Xsports
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	DAZN Canada, FuboTV
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Sport 1, Sport 3
Denmark	TV2 Play
Ecuador	ESPN 4
Europe	Go3 Sport 3 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	DAZN France
Georgia	Setanta Sport 3
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	Match 4
Indonesia	ANTV, Vidio
Israel	Sport 2
Italy	DAZN Italia, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Calcio
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	ART Sport 1
Kuwait	Shasha
Malaysia	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 3
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	VG+
Paraguay	ESPN 4
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 4, ESPN
Poland	Eleven Sports 1, Polsat Sport Premium 2
Portugal	Sport TV7
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Sport 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-africa	SuperSport Football
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	True ID, True Premier Football 3
Tunisia	Diwan Sport
Turkey	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2
United-kingdom	DAZN, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 2
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	CBS Sports Golazo, DAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Paramount+, SiriusXM FC
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 4, Inter
Vietnam	TV 360, VTVcab
World	Starzplay Sports app


	Como		Roma

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.1	3.9	Watch
	2.12	3.05	3.95
	2.16	3.11	4.15
	2.03	3.35	4.16	Watch
	2.05	2.9	3.8
	2.15	3.18	3.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.19)	3.12 ↓ (3.52)	3.99 ↑ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Como
45.4%

Draw
30.7%

Roma
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

27%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

27.1%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Como has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Roma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Roma might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Como than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roma than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Roma could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
67.9%	22.2%	9.9%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 80 users predict this event. Como will win (votes: 55 - 68.8%). Roma will win (votes: 8 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 17 - 21.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Como: 58.6% – 79%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Como (3.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

DNB - Como (1.45) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

1X2, 1st Half - draw (1.92) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Como will win (19 of 23 users predict this - 82.61%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 30 Selected Experts predict this event. Como (votes: 25 - 83.3%). Roma (votes: 1 - 3.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 13.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Butez J. (G) 14. Ramon J. 34. Diego Carlos 2. Kempf M. O. 28. Smolcic I. 8. Roberto S. 33. Da Cunha L. (C) 3. Valle A. 6. Caqueret M. 20. Baturina M. 10. Paz N.	99. Svilar M. (G) 87. Ghilardi D. 23. Mancini G. 22. Hermoso M. 19. Celik Z. 4. Cristante B. (C) 17. Kone M. 43. Wesley Franca 7. Pellegrini Lo. 92. El Shaarawy S. 14. Malen D.
Substitutes
44. Cavlina N. (G) 38. Diao A. 11. Douvikas A. 5. Goldaniga E. 19. Kuhn N. 15. Lahdo A. 7. Morata A. 18. Moreno A. 23. Perrone M. 17. Rodriguez J. 21. Tornqvist N. (G) 77. Van der Brempt I. 22. Vigorito M. (G) 31. Vojvoda M.	3. Angelino 70. De Marzi G. (G) 8. El Aynaoui N. 95. Gollini P. (G) 61. Pisilli N. 2. Rensch D. 12. Tsimikas K. 78. Vaz R. 20. Venturino L. 97. Zaragoza B. 24. Ziolkowski J.
Coaches
Fabregas C.	Gasperini G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Malen D. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Roberto S. ↓, Diao A. ↑,
46', Kempf M. O. ↓, Douvikas A. ↑,
48', Wesley Franca 🟨,
56', El Shaarawy S. ↓, Rensch D. ↑,
59', 1 - 1, Douvikas A. ⚽, Valle A. (A),
63', Caqueret M. 🟨,
64', Wesley Franca 🟨,
67', Pellegrini Lo. ↓, Pisilli N. ↑,
67', Malen D. ↓, Vaz R. ↑,
67', Caqueret M. ↓, Perrone M. ↑,
70', Hermoso M. ↓, Ziolkowski J. ↑,
70', Celik Z. ↓, Tsimikas K. ↑,
73', Diego Carlos 🟨,
77', Ghilardi D. 🟨,
77', Paz N. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
79', 2 - 1, Diego Carlos ⚽,
87', Da Cunha L. ↓, Van der Brempt I. ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

Como is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Roma has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Roma may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Como could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Como: Addai J. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There will not play in Roma: Dovbyk A. (Groin Injury) Dybala P. (Knee Injury) Ferguson E. (Ankle Injury) Ndicka E. (Yellow Cards) Soule M. (Groin Injury)

There are questionable in Como: Perrone M. (Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Como won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Como won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

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Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	AS Roma	38	23	4	11	59:31	28	73
4	Como	38	20	11	7	65:29	36	71

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calcio Como
Italian Serie A
07.03.26	Cagliari - Como	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
03.03.26	Como - Inter Milan	0:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
28.02.26	Como - Lecce	3:1 ✺
21.02.26	Juventus - Como	0:2 ✺
18.02.26	Milan - Como	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WTWWT
- AS Roma
UEFA Europa League
12.03.26	Bologna - Roma	1:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
08.03.26	Genoa - Roma	2:1 ✺
01.03.26	Roma - Juventus	3:3 ✺
22.02.26	Roma - Cremonese	3:0 ✺
15.02.26	Napoli - Roma	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
15.12.25	Roma - Como	1:0
02.03.25	Roma - Como	2:1
15.12.24	Como - Roma	2:0

Como - Roma: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide