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Como - Roma

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Match Info

  • Serie A - Round 6
  • Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday ๐Ÿ Finished
  • Location: Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia (Como) ๐ŸŒค๏ธ ...
  • Referee: Fabbri M. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
    • CountryKick-OffTV Channels
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    Como Roma
    Como Roma
    1 X 2
    #Advertisement. GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ 2.25 3.70 3.00
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    Bet_in_Asia 2.35 3.64 3.15
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    Williamhill 2.30 3.55 3.05
    BetNow 2.26 3.72 3.02
    Bovada 2.26 3.70 3.05
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.31 ↓
    (2.59)    		 3.62 ↑
    (3.57)    		 2.99 ↑
    (2.59)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

    • The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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    Current Win Probability

    Como
    41.4%    		Draw
    26.5%    		Roma
    32.1%

    Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
    36.7% 26.6% 36.7%

    Our Initial ML Estimation
    36% 26.9% 37.1%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
  • Como has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
  • Roma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Como than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Como that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roma than the current prediction. (+5%)

    • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    24.1% 34.5% 41.4%

    Como - Roma Predictions

  • Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Como will win (votes: 7 - 24.1%). Roma will win (votes: 12 - 41.4%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 34.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Roma: 23.5% โ€“ 59.3%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Roma (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH 0 - Como (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (1.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Roma (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - under (1.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • New Consensus by Tipsters:
    • BTTS - yes (1.50) (votes: 100%) โญ Best Value.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Como (votes: 1 - 25%). Roma (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
      1. FranceButez J. (G)
    27. BrazilCouto Y.
      4. SpainRamon J.
    99. EnglandChalobah T.
    16. BrazilKaiki
      5. ArgentinaPerrone M.
      7. FranceDa Cunha L. (C)
    11. SenegalDiao A.
    10. ArgentinaPaz N.
      8. FranceCaqueret M.
      9. GreeceDouvikas A.
    		95. ItalyGollini P. (G)
    23. ItalyMancini G.
      5. IvoryNdicka E.
    22. SpainHermoso M.
    20. ArgentinaMolina N.
    15. NetherlandsDe Roon M.
    17. FranceKone M.
    43. BrazilWesley Franca
    21. ArgentinaDybala P.
      7. ItalyPellegrini Lo. (C)
    14. NetherlandsMalen D.
    Substitutes
    42. NetherlandsAddai J.
    20. CroatiaBaturina M.
    13. ItalyDossena A.
    18. ItalyGoldaniga E.
    53. DRKambwala W.
      2. GermanyKempf M. O.
    15. SwedenLahdo A.
    30. ItalyLiberali M.
      6. SpainMilla L.
    21. ItalyRicci S.
    17. SpainRodriguez J.
    97. SpainSanchez R. (G)
    28. CroatiaSmolcic I.
      3. SpainValle A.
    22. ItalyVigorito M. (G)
    		26. ArgentinaBalerdi L.
      9. ArgentinaCastro S.
    70. USADe Marzi G. (G)
    87. ItalyGhilardi D.
    77. ItalyLulli E.
    86. PortugalMora R.
    61. ItalyPisilli N.
      2. NetherlandsRensch D.
    18. ArgentinaSoule M.
    32. ColombiaVasquez Llach D. S. (G)
    Coaches
         SpainFabregas C.
    		     ItalyGasperini G.

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (0 - 0)
    • 45+2', Diao A. 🟨,
    • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
    • 46', Pellegrini Lo. ↓, Soule M. ↑,
    • 46', De Roon M. 🟨,
    • 53', Malen D. 🟥,
    • 57', Kone M. 🟨,
    • 60', Hermoso M. ↓, Balerdi L. ↑,
    • 62', Soule M. 🟨,
    • 66', Caqueret M. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
    • 78', Da Cunha L. ↓, Baturina M. ↑,
    • 82', Molina N. ↓, Rensch D. ↑,
    • 88', Perrone M. ↓, Milla L. ↑,
    • 88', Diao A. ↓, Addai J. ↑,
    • 88', Couto Y. ↓, Kempf M. O. ↑,
    • 89', Dybala P. ↓, Lulli E. ↑,
    • 89', Kone M. ↓, Pisilli N. ↑,
    • 90', Baturina M. 🟨,

    Preview

  • A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 8th and 1st in the Promotion - Champions League League phase).
  • Both teams enter this match with positive momentum from recent weeks.
  • In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
  • Confirmed absences for Roma: Bah M. (Knee Injury) Cristante B. (Injury) Koulierakis K. (Knock) Svilar M. (Toe Injury).
  • In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Como has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:4 (averaging 1.3:1 goals per game).
  • Specifically in home fixtures for Como against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 4:1 goals (averaging 2:0.5 per game).

    • Standings

    PlWDLDiffPts
    3AS Roma963023:81521
    4Como962117:8920

    Outrights of Italian Serie A for now
    AS Roma: 13.44% Como: 6.17%
    Last Results with these Odds

    Como - the odds 2.59 are the expected chance of winning is 36.69%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

    Roma - the odds 2.59 are the expected chance of winning is 36.69%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

    Form
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - Calcio Como
    Italian Serie A
    20.09.26 Frosinone - Como 2:0 ✺
    14.09.26 Como - Parma 2:1 ✺
    UEFA Champions League
    10.09.26 Como - RB Leipzig 4:1 ✺
    Italian Serie A
    04.09.26 Genoa - Como 1:4 ✺
    30.08.26 Napoli - Como 1:2 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1
    LWWWW
    - AS Roma
    Italian Serie A
    19.09.26 Roma - Inter Milan 2:2 ✺
    14.09.26 Torino - Roma 0:2 ✺
    UEFA Champions League
    10.09.26 Fenerbahรงe - Roma 1:1 ✺
    Italian Serie A
    05.09.26 Roma - Atalanta 2:1 ✺
    31.08.26 Lecce - Roma 0:4 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9
    TWTWW
    Latest Head to Head
    Italian Serie A
    15.03.26 Como - Roma 2:1
    15.12.25 Roma - Como 1:0
    02.03.25 Roma - Como 2:1
    15.12.24 Como - Roma 2:0
    Upcoming Matches
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - Calcio Como
    UEFA Champions League
    04.11.26 Lens - Como ✺
    Italian Serie A
    01.11.26 Como - Venezia ✺
    - AS Roma
    UEFA Champions League
    03.11.26 Manchester United - Roma ✺
    Italian Serie A
    31.10.26 Udinese - Roma ✺

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