Match Info

Serie A - Round 29

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore (Reggio Emilia)

Referee: Bonacina K. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Albania	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Disney+
Canada	DAZN Canada, FuboTV
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Indonesia	Vidio
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	ART Sport 1
Kuwait	Shasha
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	Eleven Sports 1, Polsat Sport Extra 4
Portugal	Sport TV3
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Sport 3
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	True ID, True Premier Football 3
Tunisia	Diwan Sport
Turkey	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	CBS Sports Golazo, DAZN Espanol, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Plus, TV 360, VTVcab
World	Starzplay Sports app


	Sassuolo		Bologna

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.25	3	Watch
	2.48	3.2	2.98
	2.47	3.22	3.2
	2.41	3.2	3.13	Watch
	2.4	3	3
	2.45	3.35	3.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↓ (2.85)	3.2 ↓ (3.45)	3.07 ↑ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sassuolo
39.2%

Draw
29.7%

Bologna
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

27.5%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35%

28.9%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sassuolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sassuolo's performance.

Bologna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bologna might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sassuolo than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bologna than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bologna could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
29.6%	59.3%	11.1%

Sassuolo - Bologna Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Sassuolo will win (votes: 8 - 29.6%). Bologna will win (votes: 3 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 59.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 40.8% – 77.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Bologna (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - draw (1.34) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH 0 - Bologna (2.19) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Sassuolo (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

AH -0.5 - Sassuolo (2.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Sassuolo (votes: 3 - 30%). Bologna (votes: 3 - 30%). Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
49. Muric A. (G) 6. Walukiewicz S. 21. Idzes J. 80. Muharemovic T. 23. Garcia U. 90. Kone I. 18. Matic N. 42. Thorstvedt K. 10. Berardi D. (C) 99. Pinamonti A. 45. Lauriente A.	1. Skorupski L. (G) 29. De Silvestri L. (C) 41. Vitik M. 26. Lucumi J. 33. Miranda J. 23. Sohm S. 6. Moro N. 7. Orsolini R. 21. Odgaard J. 28. Cambiaghi N. 24. Dallinga T.
Substitutes
50. Bakola D. 25. Coulibaly W. 3. Doig J. 44. Iannoni E. 35. Lipani L. 24. Moro L. 8. Nzola M. 66. Pedro Felipe 19. Romagna F. 12. Satalino G. (G) 13. Turati S. (G) 7. Volpato C. 40. Vranckx A. 16. Zacchi G. (G)	10. Bernardeschi F. 16. Casale N. 9. Castro S. 30. Dominguez B. 5. Fauske Helland E. 8. Freuler R. 14. Heggem T. 17. Joao Mario 22. Lykogiannis C. 25. Pessina M. (G) 4. Pobega T. 13. Ravaglia F. (G) 11. Rowe J. 20. Zortea N.
Coaches
Grosso F.	Italiano V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Dallinga T. ⚽,
24', Dallinga T. 🟨,
29', De Silvestri L. ↓, Zortea N. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Matic N. ↓, Volpato C. ↑,
59', Pinamonti A. ↓, Nzola M. ↑,
64', Moro N. ↓, Freuler R. ↑,
64', Dallinga T. ↓, Castro S. ↑,
75', Garcia U. ↓, Doig J. ↑,
75', Kone I. ↓, Vranckx A. ↑,
77', Nzola M. 🟨,
83', Sohm S. ↓, Pobega T. ↑,
83', Odgaard J. ↓, Bernardeschi F. ↑,
87', Berardi D. ↓, Bakola D. ↑,
90+6', Zortea N. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sassuolo won 0.

In recent matches, Sassuolo has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Bologna is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Bologna may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Bologna has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Sassuolo: Boloca D. (Muscle Injury) Cande F. (Knee Injury) Fadera A. (Injury) Pieragnolo E. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Bologna: Bonifazi K. (Inactive) Ferguson L. (Yellow Cards)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sassuolo won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 25:31. (average 1.3:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Sassuolo won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:13. (average 0.9:1.4).

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Sassuolo: 0.25% Bologna: 0.25%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Sassuolo	5	2	1	2	9:9	0	7
18	Bologna	5	0	2	3	3:6	-3	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Sassuolo
Italian Serie A
09.03.26	Lazio - Sassuolo	2:1 ✺
01.03.26	Sassuolo - Atalanta	2:1 ✺
20.02.26	Sassuolo - Verona	3:0 ✺
15.02.26	Udinese - Sassuolo	1:2 ✺
08.02.26	Sassuolo - Inter Milan	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 LWWWL
- Bologna FC
UEFA Europa League
12.03.26	Bologna - Roma	1:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
08.03.26	Bologna - Verona	1:2 ✺
02.03.26	Pisa - Bologna	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
26.02.26	Bologna - Brann	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
23.02.26	Bologna - Udinese	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
28.12.25	Bologna - Sassuolo	1:1
03.02.24	Bologna - Sassuolo	4:2
28.10.23	Sassuolo - Bologna	1:1
08.05.23	Sassuolo - Bologna	1:1
12.11.22	Bologna - Sassuolo	3:0
15.05.22	Bologna - Sassuolo	1:3
22.12.21	Sassuolo - Bologna	0:3

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