Match Info

Serie A - Round 32

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Luigi Ferraris (Genoa)

Referee: Rapuano A. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	New World Sport 2, SuperSport Football
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	DAZN
Bolivia	ESPN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	DAZN Canada, FuboTV
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Ecuador	ESPN
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 1
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	Match 4
Indonesia	Vidio
Israel	Sport 3
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	Arena Premium 4, ART Sport 1
Kuwait	Shasha
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	Astro Arena Bola 2, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN
Netherlands	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
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Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
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Serbia	Arena Premium 4
Slovakia	Sport 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	DAZN Espana
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Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	True ID, True Premier Football 3
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Turkey	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	DAZN USA, FOX Deportes, FOX Deportes, FOX One, FOX Sports App, Foxsports.com, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	TV 360, VTVcab
World	Starzplay Sports app


	Genoa		Sassuolo

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.3	3.5	Watch
	2.18	3.2	3.55	Watch
	2.21	3.4	3.68
	2.15	3.28	3.59	Watch
	2.1	3.1	3.4
	2.23	3.37	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (2.13)	3.28 ↓ (3.38)	3.57 ↑ (3.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Genoa
44%

Draw
29.2%

Sassuolo
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

28.1%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

28.5%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Genoa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Sassuolo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Genoa than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sassuolo than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35.7%	64.3%	0%

Genoa - Sassuolo Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Genoa will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 69.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Sassuolo (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sassuolo (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Bijlow J. (G) 27. Marcandalli A. 5. Ostigard L. 22. Vasquez J. (C) 20. Sabelli S. 32. Frendrup M. 17. Malinovskyi R. 77. Ellertsson M. E. 8. Baldanzi T. 9. Vitinha 29. Colombo L.	49. Muric A. (G) 6. Walukiewicz S. 21. Idzes J. 80. Muharemovic T. 3. Doig J. 42. Thorstvedt K. 18. Matic N. 90. Kone I. 10. Berardi D. (C) 99. Pinamonti A. 45. Lauriente A.
Substitutes
4. Amorim 21. Ekhator J. 18. Ekuban C. 80. Grossi J. 10. Junior Messias 40. Klisys L. 1. Leali N. (G) 3. Martin A. 73. Masini P. 34. Otoa S. 99. Ouedraogo W. L. 39. Sommariva D. (G) 13. Zatterstrom N.	25. Coulibaly W. 20. Fadera A. 33. Frangella C. 44. Iannoni E. 35. Lipani L. 24. Moro L. 8. Nzola M. 66. Pedro Felipe 12. Satalino G. (G) 13. Turati S. (G) 7. Volpato C. 16. Zacchi G. (G)
Coaches
De Rossi D.	Grosso F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', Malinovskyi R. 🟨,
18', 1 - 0, Malinovskyi R. ⚽, Baldanzi T. (A),
20', Frendrup M. 🟨,
32', Doig J. 🟨,
40', Walukiewicz S. 🟨,
45+2', Ellertsson M. E. 🟥,
45+2', Berardi D. 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', Malinovskyi R. ↓, Masini P. ↑,
55', Baldanzi T. ↓, Martin A. ↑,
55', Colombo L. ↓, Ekuban C. ↑,
57', 1 - 1, Kone I. ⚽,
67', Walukiewicz S. ↓, Coulibaly W. ↑,
67', Matic N. ↓, Volpato C. ↑,
75', Vitinha ↓, Junior Messias ↑,
81', Doig J. ↓, Lipani L. ↑,
81', Pinamonti A. ↓, Iannoni E. ↑,
84', 2 - 1, Ekuban C. ⚽, Junior Messias (A),
87', Kone I. ↓, Moro L. ↑,
87', Sabelli S. ↓, Otoa S. ↑,
90+1', Muharemovic T. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 14 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Genoa won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Genoa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Genoa is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Genoa: Cornet M. (Thigh Injury) Norton-Cuffy B. (Thigh Injury) Onana J. (Injury)

There will not play in Sassuolo: Cande F. (Knee Injury) Pieragnolo E. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Sassuolo: Boloca D. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Genoa won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 27:36. (average 1.4:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Genoa won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1.6:1.3).

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Sassuolo: 0.25% Genoa: 0.14%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Sassuolo	5	2	1	2	9:9	0	7
19	Genoa	5	0	1	4	3:10	-7	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Genoa CFC
Italian Serie A
06.04.26	Juventus - Genoa	2:0 ✺
20.03.26	Genoa - Udinese	0:2 ✺
15.03.26	Verona - Genoa	0:2 ✺
08.03.26	Genoa - Roma	2:1 ✺
28.02.26	Inter Milan - Genoa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LLWWL
- US Sassuolo
Italian Serie A
04.04.26	Sassuolo - Cagliari	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	Juventus - Sassuolo	1:1 ✺
15.03.26	Sassuolo - Bologna	0:1 ✺
09.03.26	Lazio - Sassuolo	2:1 ✺
01.03.26	Sassuolo - Atalanta	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
03.11.25	Sassuolo - Genoa	1:2
12.05.24	Genoa - Sassuolo	2:1
22.12.23	Sassuolo - Genoa	1:2
06.01.22	Sassuolo - Genoa	1:1
17.10.21	Genoa - Sassuolo	2:2
09.05.21	Genoa - Sassuolo	1:2
06.01.21	Sassuolo - Genoa	2:1

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