Match Info

ITALY: Serie B - Round 24

Date: 1 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore (Reggio Emilia)

Referee: Caputi M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia


	Sassuolo		Juve Stabia

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.7	5.5	Watch
	1.68	3.6	5
	1.68	3.6	5	Watch
	1.69	3.74	5.65
	1.68	3.72	5.41	Watch
	1.62	3.8	5.5
	1.66	3.68	5.47	Watch
	1.68	3.6	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.59)	3.68 ↓ (4.04)	5.32 ↓ (5.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sassuolo
56.6%

Draw
25.7%

Juve Stabia
17.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.2%

23.3%

17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.7%

22.4%

16.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sassuolo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Juve Stabia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sassuolo than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sassuolo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juve Stabia than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	10%	10%

Sassuolo - Juve Stabia Predictions

Users Predictions: Sassuolo will win (16 of 20 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.47% – 97.53%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Moldovan H. (G) 23. Toljan J. 20. Lovato M. 80. Muharemovic T. 3. Doig J. 11. Boloca D. 8. Ghion A. 40. Iannoni E. 10. Berardi D. 90. Skjellerup L. 45. Lauriente A.	20. Thiam D. (G) 4. Ruggero M. 24. Varnier M. 6. Bellich M. 15. Floriani R. 10. Pierobon C. 8. Buglio D. 3. Rocchetti Y. 11. Piscopo K. 37. Maistro F. 9. Adorante A.
Substitutes
28. Antiste J. 35. Lipani L. 24. Moro L. 9. Mulattieri S. 14. Obiang P. 26. Odenthal C. 17. Paz Y. 15. Pieragnolo E. 19. Romagna F. 91. Russo F. 12. Satalino G. (G) 7. Volpato C.	13. Baldi M. 27. Candellone L. 5. Di Marco T. 25. Gerbo A. 55. Leone G. 1. Matosevic K. (G) 14. Meli M. 98. Mosti N. 45. Peda P. 2. Quaranta D. 18. Sgarbi L. 7. Zuccon F.
Coaches
Grosso F.	Pagliuca G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', Buglio D. 🟨,
45', 1 - 0, Lauriente A. ⚽, Toljan J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', Lovato M. ↓, Odenthal C. ↑,
63', Ghion A. ↓, Obiang P. ↑,
63', Skjellerup L. ↓, Mulattieri S. ↑,
65', Maistro F. 🟨,
66', Piscopo K. ↓, Candellone L. ↑,
67', Maistro F. ↓, Mosti N. ↑,
71', 2 - 0, Mulattieri S. ⚽, Lauriente A. (A),
75', Boloca D. 🟨,
77', Pierobon C. ↓, Leone G. ↑,
83', Ruggero M. ↓, Sgarbi L. ↑,
84', Sgarbi L. 🟨,
87', Muharemovic T. 🟨,
88', Doig J. ↓, Pieragnolo E. ↑,
88', Iannoni E. ↓, Lipani L. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Sassuolo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Sassuolo is a favorite.

There will not play in Sassuolo: Thorstvedt K. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Juve Stabia: Fortini N. (Injury)

Last 4 head-to-head matches Sassuolo won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:4 (average 1.8:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Sassuolo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Sassuolo
Italian Serie B
24.01.25	Spezia - Sassuolo	2:1 ✺
19.01.25	Sassuolo - Südtirol-Alto Adige	5:3 ✺
12.01.25	Salernitana - Sassuolo	1:2 ✺
29.12.24	Sassuolo - Nuova Cosenza	2:1 ✺
26.12.24	Pisa - Sassuolo	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWWWL
- Juve Stabia
Italian Serie B
25.01.25	Juve Stabia - Carrarese	2:1 ✺
19.01.25	Palermo - Juve Stabia	1:0 ✺
12.01.25	Spezia - Juve Stabia	1:1 ✺
29.12.24	Juve Stabia - Frosinone	1:1 ✺
26.12.24	Reggiana - Juve Stabia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
29.10.24	Juve Stabia - Sassuolo	2:2
19.03.13	Juve Stabia - Sassuolo	1:1
26.10.12	Sassuolo - Juve Stabia	1:0
26.05.12	Juve Stabia - Sassuolo	1:3

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