Match Info

Serie B - Round 30

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Romeo Menti (Castellammare di Stabia)

Referee: Tremolada P. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
World	Onefootball


	Juve Stabia		Carrarese

	1	X	2
	1.96	3.2	4.2	Watch
	2.05	3.05	3.75
	2.07	3.2	4.31
	2.06	3.22	3.73	Watch
	2.05	3.1	3.5
	2.03	3.05	4.05	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.17)	3.14 ↓ (3.2)	3.92 ↑ (3.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Juve Stabia
46.1%

Draw
29.9%

Carrarese
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

28.9%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

25.6%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juve Stabia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Carrarese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juve Stabia than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Juve Stabia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carrarese than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Carrarese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	64.3%	7.1%

Juve Stabia - Carrarese Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Juve Stabia will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Carrarese will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 64.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 39.2% – 89.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Juve Stabia (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 5 - 83.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Confente A. (G) 46. Diakite S. 33. Giorgini A. 6. Bellich M. (C) 2. Ricciardi M. 98. Mosti N. 55. Leone G. 29. Correia O. 24. Carissoni L. 7. Burnete R. 9. Gabrielloni A.	1. Bleve M. (G) 37. Calabrese N. 6. Oliana F. 73. Rouhi J. 7. Belloni N. 8. Melegoni F. 17. Zuelli E. 70. Hasa L. 3. Imperiale M. (C) 9. Abiuso F. 32. Finotto M.
Substitutes
23. Boer P. (G) 17. Ciammaglichella A. 14. Dalle Mura C. 21. Kassama S. 76. Mannini M. 70. Matheu P. 90. Okoro A. 16. Signorini A. (G) 28. Torrasi E. 13. Varnier M.	13. Bouah D. 28. Di Stefano F. 99. Fiorillo V. (G) 12. Garofani G. (G) 4. Illanes J. 25. Lordkipanidze D. 77. Parlanti G. 21. Rubino T. 26. Ruggeri F. 44. Sekulov N. 92. Torregrossa E. 20. Troise A.
Coaches
Abate I.	Calabro A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', Oliana F. 🟨,
33', 1 - 0, Mosti N. ⚽,
45+3', Confente A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Melegoni F. ↓, Parlanti G. ↑,
66', Finotto M. ↓, Torregrossa E. ↑,
68', Burnete R. ↓, Okoro A. ↑,
77', 1 - 1, Torregrossa E. (Penalty Awarded),
78', Ricciardi M. ↓, Mannini M. ↑,
78', Diakite S. ↓, Varnier M. ↑,
79', Bellich M. ↓, Dalle Mura C. ↑,
80', Gabrielloni A. 🟨,
83', Rouhi J. ↓, Bouah D. ↑,
88', Mosti N. ↓, Torrasi E. ↑,
90', Abiuso F. ↓, Lordkipanidze D. ↑,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 12).

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Juve Stabia will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Juve Stabia: Battistella T. (Knee Injury) Bellich M. (Inactive) Cacciamani A. (Yellow Cards) Candellone L. (Injury) Confente A. (Inactive) Maistro F. (Inactive) Morachioli G. (Lacking Match Fitness) Pierobon C. (Red Card) Varnier M. (Inactive) Zeroli K. (Inactive)

There will not play in Carrarese: Salamon B. (Inactive) Schiavi N. (Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Juve Stabia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Juve Stabia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
19	Juve Stabia	6	1	3	2	5:8	-3	2
20	Carrarese	5	0	1	4	2:6	-4	1

Last Results with these Odds

Juve Stabia - the odds 2.17 are the expected chance of winning is 42.72%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Carrarese - the odds 3.26 are the expected chance of winning is 28.37%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juve Stabia
Italian Serie B
08.03.26	Mantova - Juve Stabia	2:0 ✺
04.03.26	Juve Stabia - Sampdoria	1:1 ✺
28.02.26	Avellino - Juve Stabia	0:0 ✺
22.02.26	Juve Stabia - Modena	1:2 ✺
15.02.26	Monza - Juve Stabia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LTTLL
- Carrarese Calcio
Italian Serie B
08.03.26	Carrarese - Palermo	0:1 ✺
04.03.26	Carrarese - Catanzaro	3:3 ✺
01.03.26	Mantova - Carrarese	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Carrarese - Monza	0:1 ✺
14.02.26	Modena - Carrarese	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
05.10.25	Carrarese - Juve Stabia	3:0
25.01.25	Juve Stabia - Carrarese	2:1
02.11.24	Carrarese - Juve Stabia	0:0

Upcoming Matches