Match Info

ITALY: Serie B - Round 23

Date: 24 January 2025, Friday

Location: Stadio Alberto Picco (La Spezia)

Referee: Piccinini M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia
Russia	Telekanal Futbol
Switzerland	Blue Sport 5, Blue Sport 5


	Spezia		Sassuolo

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.1	3	Watch
	2.4	3	3
	2.5	3	2.95
	2.52	3.11	3.18
	2.56	3.02	3.05	Watch
	2.4	3.2	2.9
	2.49	3.08	3.08	Watch
	2.5	3	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↓ (2.58)	3.06 ↓ (3.42)	3.01 ↑ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spezia
38.1%

Draw
30.7%

Sassuolo
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.4%

27.4%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

27.7%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Sassuolo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spezia than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sassuolo than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	27.8%	38.9%

Spezia - Sassuolo Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Spezia will win (votes: 6 - 33.3%). Sassuolo will win (votes: 7 - 38.9%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 27.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sassuolo: 16.4% – 61.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Chichizola L. (G) 2. Wisniewski P. 55. Hristov P. 37. Mateju A. 7. Elia S. 25. Bandinelli F. 5. Esposito Sa. 32. Vignali L. 13. Reca A. 9. Esposito F. 20. Di Serio G.	31. Moldovan H. (G) 23. Toljan J. 80. Muharemovic T. 26. Odenthal C. 3. Doig J. 10. Berardi D. 11. Boloca D. 42. Thorstvedt K. 35. Lipani L. 45. Lauriente A. 9. Mulattieri S.
Substitutes
31. Aurelio G. 44. Benvenuto M. 77. Bertola N. 36. Candelari P. 29. Cassata F. 17. Colak A. 6. Degli Innocenti D. 11. Falcinelli D. 4. Ferrer S. 65. Giorgeschi S. 66. Gori S. (G) 80. Kouda R.	28. Antiste J. 40. Iannoni E. 20. Lovato M. 24. Moro L. 14. Obiang P. 17. Paz Y. 15. Pieragnolo E. 77. Pierini N. 91. Russo F. 12. Satalino G. (G) 90. Skjellerup L. 7. Volpato C.
Coaches
D'Angelo L.	Grosso F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, Vignali L. ⚽, Elia S. (A),
12', Elia S. 🟨,
35', 1 - 1, Mulattieri S. ⚽, Lauriente A. (A),
40', Di Serio G. 🟨,
40', Muharemovic T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Boloca D. ↓, Obiang P. ↑,
66', Mulattieri S. ↓, Volpato C. ↑,
66', Lipani L. ↓, Moro L. ↑,
66', Lauriente A. ↓, Pierini N. ↑,
67', Di Serio G. ↓, Kouda R. ↑,
68', Elia S. ↓, Cassata F. ↑,
72', Esposito F. 🟨,
73', Bandinelli F. ↓, Degli Innocenti D. ↑,
75', 2 - 1, Vignali L. ⚽, Kouda R. (A),
81', Thorstvedt K. 🟨,
85', Mateju A. 🟨,
87', Vignali L. ↓, Bertola N. ↑,
90', Toljan J. ↓, Skjellerup L. ↑,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Spezia won 1.

Recent matches Spezia is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sassuolo is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Spezia: Sarr M. (Muscle Injury)

Last 13 head-to-head matches Spezia won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 13:25 (average 1:1.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Spezia won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:10 (average 1.3:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spezia Calcio
Italian Serie B
19.01.25	Carrarese - Spezia	0:4 ✺
12.01.25	Spezia - Juve Stabia	1:1 ✺
29.12.24	Bari - Spezia	2:0 ✺
26.12.24	Spezia - Mantova	1:1 ✺
21.12.24	Catanzaro - Spezia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WTLTW
- US Sassuolo
Italian Serie B
19.01.25	Sassuolo - Südtirol-Alto Adige	5:3 ✺
12.01.25	Salernitana - Sassuolo	1:2 ✺
29.12.24	Sassuolo - Nuova Cosenza	2:1 ✺
26.12.24	Pisa - Sassuolo	3:1 ✺
21.12.24	Sassuolo - Palermo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
28.09.24	Sassuolo - Spezia	0:0
Coppa Italia
02.11.23	Sassuolo - Spezia	1:0 penalties
Club Friendly
23.07.23	Sassuolo - Spezia	2:3
Italian Serie A
17.03.23	Sassuolo - Spezia	1:0
27.08.22	Spezia - Sassuolo	2:2
18.03.22	Sassuolo - Spezia	4:1
05.12.21	Spezia - Sassuolo	2:2

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