Match Info

Serie B - Round 31

Date: 29 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore (Reggio Emilia)

Referee: La Penna F. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia


	Sassuolo		Reggiana

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.6	4.5	Watch
	1.82	3.4	4.33
	1.84	3.4	4.3	Watch
	1.66	3.85	5.19
	1.82	3.4	4.5	Watch
	1.67	3.6	5
	1.86	3.42	4.49	Watch
	1.84	3.4	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.65)	3.51 ↓ (3.76)	4.58 ↓ (5.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sassuolo
52.6%

Draw
26.8%

Reggiana
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57%

25%

18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.1%

23.7%

17.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sassuolo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Reggiana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sassuolo than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sassuolo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reggiana than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Sassuolo - Reggiana Predictions

Users Predictions: Sassuolo will win (21 of 21 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Moldovan H. (G) 23. Toljan J. 19. Romagna F. (C) 20. Lovato M. 15. Pieragnolo E. 11. Boloca D. 8. Ghion A. 10. Berardi D. 7. Volpato C. 45. Lauriente A. 9. Mulattieri S.	22. Bardi F. (C) 15. Fiamozzi R. 13. Meroni A. 44. Lucchesi L. 17. Libutti L. 5. Sersanti A. 16. Reinhart T. 25. Ignacchiti L. 30. Vergara A. 11. Gondo C. 90. Portanova M.
Substitutes
40. Iannoni E. 35. Lipani L. 2. Missori F. 24. Moro L. 80. Muharemovic T. 14. Obiang P. 26. Odenthal C. 17. Paz Y. 77. Pierini N. 12. Satalino G. (G) 5. Velthuis T. 99. Verdi S.	8. Cigarini L. 80. Girma N. 77. Kabashi E. 55. Kumi J. 27. Maggio M. 87. Nahounou Y. 23. Pettinari S. 4. Rozzio P. 3. Sosa J. 99. Sposito A. (G) 6. Stulac L. 29. Urso O.
Coaches
Grosso F.	Viali W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Vergara A. ⚽,
15', 1 - 1, Mulattieri S. ⚽,
18', 2 - 1, Reinhart T. (Own goal),
22', Reinhart T. 🟨,
35', 3 - 1, Lauriente A. ⚽, Volpato C. (A),
38', 4 - 1, Boloca D. ⚽, Toljan J. (A),
41', Vergara A. 🟨,
44', Ghion A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Fiamozzi R. ↓, Urso O. ↑,
46', Reinhart T. ↓, Girma N. ↑,
57', Pieragnolo E. 🟨,
58', Ghion A. ↓, Obiang P. ↑,
58', Mulattieri S. ↓, Lipani L. ↑,
69', Portanova M. ↓, Stulac L. ↑,
69', Sersanti A. ↓, Kabashi E. ↑,
74', Berardi D. ↓, Verdi S. ↑,
78', Meroni A. ↓, Rozzio P. ↑,
79', Pieragnolo E. ↓, Paz Y. ↑,
82', Girma N. 🟨,
84', 5 - 1, Verdi S. (Pen),

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 16 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: )).

Sassuolo is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Reggiana is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Sassuolo is a favorite.

There will not play in Sassuolo: Pieragnolo E. (Injury) Skjellerup L. (Injury) Thorstvedt K. (Injury)

There will not play in Reggiana: Marras M. (Red Card) Pettinari S. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Reggiana: Vido L. (Injury)

Our prediction for today's Sassuolo to win the game is with odds 1.73.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Sassuolo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Sassuolo
Italian Serie B
15.03.25	Cittadella - Sassuolo	1:2 ✺
09.03.25	Sassuolo - Bari	1:1 ✺
01.03.25	Sassuolo - Pisa	1:0 ✺
21.02.25	Sampdoria - Sassuolo	0:0 ✺
15.02.25	Sassuolo - Brescia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WTWTW
- AC Reggiana 1919
Italian Serie B
16.03.25	Reggiana - Sampdoria	2:2 ✺
07.03.25	Nuova Cosenza - Reggiana	1:0 ✺
02.03.25	Catanzaro - Reggiana	1:1 ✺
22.02.25	Reggiana - Carrarese	2:2 ✺
16.02.25	Frosinone - Reggiana	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
29.11.24	Reggiana - Sassuolo	0:2

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