Match Info

Serie B - Round 23

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Nicola Ceravolo (Catanzaro)

Referee: Perri M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
World	Onefootball


	Catanzaro		Reggiana

	1	X	2
	1.61	3.75	5.25	Watch
	1.82	3.5	4.33
	1.68	3.55	4.85	Watch
	1.68	3.8	5.78
	1.68	3.63	5.21	Watch
	1.67	3.4	5
	1.7	3.76	5.08	Watch
	1.64	3.6	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.78)	3.62 ↑ (3.52)	5.13 ↑ (4.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Catanzaro
55.7%

Draw
25.9%

Reggiana
18.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.5%

26.5%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3%

23.9%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Catanzaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Reggiana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Catanzaro than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Catanzaro that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reggiana than the current prediction. (+5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.9%	23.1%	0%

Catanzaro - Reggiana Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Catanzaro will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Catanzaro: 54% – 99.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Catanzaro (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Pigliacelli M. (G) 84. Cassandro T. 4. Matias Antonini 23. Brighenti N. 27. Favasuli C. 14. Liberali M. 10. Petriccione J. 20. Pontisso S. 77. D'Alessandro M. 80. Cisse A. 9. Iemmello P. (C)	12. Seculin A. (G) 2. Papetti A. 4. Rozzio P. (C) 17. Libutti L. 7. Paz Y. 16. Reinhart T. 8. Charlys 3. Bozzolan A. 10. Bozhanaj K. 93. Lambourde M. 11. Gondo C.
Substitutes
30. Alesi G. 98. Buglio D. 94. Di Francesco F. 3. Esteves G. 6. Fellipe Jack 62. Frosinini R. 39. Koffi N. 1. Marietta C. (G) 19. Nuamah P. 21. Pompetti M. 32. Rispoli F. 26. Verrengia B.	57. Belardinelli L. 43. Bonetti S. 77. Fumagalli T. 80. Girma N. 44. Mendicino L. 1. Micai A. (G) 9. Novakovich A. 14. Quaranta D. 23. Rover M. 33. Tripaldelli A. 6. Vallarelli F. 34. Vicari F.
Coaches
Aquilani A.	Dionigi D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', Cisse A. ↓, Nuamah P. ↑,
29', 1 - 0, Liberali M. ⚽,
36', Bozzolan A. 🟨,
39', Papetti A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Bozzolan A. ↓, Tripaldelli A. ↑,
52', 2 - 0, D'Alessandro M. ⚽,
56', Paz Y. ↓, Rover M. ↑,
57', Bozhanaj K. ↓, Girma N. ↑,
66', Charlys ↓, Belardinelli L. ↑,
67', Matias Antonini ↓, Frosinini R. ↑,
67', Liberali M. ↓, Pompetti M. ↑,
72', Nuamah P. 🟨,
73', Lambourde M. ↓, Novakovich A. ↑,
82', Nuamah P. ↓, Rispoli F. ↑,
82', Pontisso S. ↓, Koffi N. ↑,
83', Novakovich A. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Catanzaro won 0.

Catanzaro has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Reggiana is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Catanzaro is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Catanzaro: Cisse A. (Inactive) Oudin R. (Inactive)

There will not play in Reggiana: Bertagnoli M. (Inactive) Mateus Lusuardi (Injury) Portanova M. (Yellow Cards) Sampirisi M. (Inactive)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Catanzaro won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.2:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Catanzaro won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Catanzaro	5	1	0	4	5:9	-4	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Catanzaro
Italian Serie B
31.01.26	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Catanzaro	2:1 ✺
25.01.26	Catanzaro - Sampdoria	0:0 ✺
17.01.26	Venezia - Catanzaro	3:1 ✺
10.01.26	Frosinone - Catanzaro	2:0 ✺
27.12.25	Catanzaro - Cesena	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LTLLW
- AC Reggiana 1919
Italian Serie B
01.02.26	Reggiana - Juve Stabia	1:1 ✺
24.01.26	Frosinone - Reggiana	1:0 ✺
17.01.26	Reggiana - Cesena	1:2 ✺
10.01.26	Reggiana - Venezia	1:3 ✺
27.12.25	Sampdoria - Reggiana	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
20.09.25	Reggiana - Catanzaro	2:2
02.03.25	Catanzaro - Reggiana	1:1
10.11.24	Reggiana - Catanzaro	2:2
09.03.24	Catanzaro - Reggiana	0:1
26.12.23	Reggiana - Catanzaro	1:0
Italian Super Cup Serie C
13.05.23	Reggiana - Catanzaro	2:2

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