Match Info

Serie A - Round 26

Date: 20 February 2026, Friday

Location: Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore (Reggio Emilia)

Referee: Marinelli L. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Sassuolo		Verona

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.4	5.25	Watch
	1.87	3.3	4.6
	1.78	3.45	4.95	Watch
	1.79	3.45	5.42
	1.81	3.39	5.03	Watch
	1.75	3.25	4.8
	1.82	3.41	5.29
	1.77	3.33	5.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (1.89)	3.37 ↑ (3.2)	5.08 ↑ (4.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sassuolo
53.1%

Draw
28.2%

Verona
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

29.6%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.6%

27%

22.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sassuolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Verona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sassuolo than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sassuolo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Verona than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.6%	5.1%	6.3%

Sassuolo - Verona Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Sassuolo (1.18) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

DNB - Sassuolo (1.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH +1.5 - Verona (1.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Sassuolo will win (70 of 79 users predict this - 88.61%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.6% – 95.62%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sassuolo will win (21 of 23 users predict this - 91.3%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 28 Selected Experts predict this event. Sassuolo (votes: 24 - 85.7%). Verona (votes: 3 - 10.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 3.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
49. Muric A. (G) 25. Coulibaly W. 6. Walukiewicz S. 21. Idzes J. 23. Garcia U. 42. Thorstvedt K. 35. Lipani L. 90. Kone I. 10. Berardi D. (C) 99. Pinamonti A. 45. Lauriente A.	1. Montipo L. (C) 37. Bella-Kotchap A. 15. Nelsson V. 5. Edmundsson A. 12. Bradaric D. 36. Niasse C. 73. Al Musrati 21. Harroui A. 3. Frese M. 18. Bowie K. 9. Sarr A.
Substitutes
50. Bakola D. 3. Doig J. 20. Fadera A. 44. Iannoni E. 24. Moro L. 8. Nzola M. 66. Pedro Felipe 19. Romagna F. 12. Satalino G. (G) 13. Turati S. (G) 7. Volpato C. 40. Vranckx A. 16. Zacchi G. (G)	70. Cham F. 71. De Battisti D. 41. Isaac 92. Monticelli L. 25. Mosquera D. 2. Oyegoke D. 99. Peci J. 34. Perilli S. (G) 19. Slotsager T. 10. Suslov T. 30. Szimionas L. 94. Toniolo G. (G) 90. Vermesan I.
Coaches
Grosso F.	Sammarco P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
17', Coulibaly W. 🟨,
36', Coulibaly W. ↓, Romagna F. ↑,
39', Edmundsson A. 🟨,
40', 1 - 0, Pinamonti A. ⚽, Lauriente A. (A),
44', Berardi D. (Penalty Awarded),
44', 2 - 0, Berardi D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', Al Musrati 🟨,
62', 3 - 0, Berardi D. ⚽, Lauriente A. (A),
72', Sarr A. ↓, Mosquera D. ↑,
72', Pinamonti A. ↓, Nzola M. ↑,
73', Bradaric D. ↓, Oyegoke D. ↑,
73', Lauriente A. ↓, Fadera A. ↑,
73', Kone I. ↓, Iannoni E. ↑,
78', Walukiewicz S. 🟨,
82', Harroui A. ↓, Suslov T. ↑,
82', Bowie K. ↓, Vermesan I. ↑,
85', Al Musrati 🟨,
89', Walukiewicz S. ↓, Pedro Felipe ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sassuolo won 3.

In recent matches, Sassuolo has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Verona is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Sassuolo is the team to beat.

There will not play in Sassuolo: Boloca D. (Muscle Injury) Cande F. (Knee Injury) Matic N. (Red Card) Muharemovic T. (Yellow Cards) Pieragnolo E. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Verona: Akpa Akpro J. (Yellow Cards) Belghali R. (Injury) Bernede A. (Injury) Gagliardini R. (Injury) Lovric S. (Inactive) Lovric S. (Inactive) Orban G. (Red Card) Serdar S. (Knee Injury) Suslov T. (Knee Injury) Valentini N. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sassuolo won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 30:28. (average 1.5:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Sassuolo won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:17. (average 1.8:1.7).

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Sassuolo: 0.25%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Sassuolo	5	2	1	2	9:9	0	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Sassuolo
Italian Serie A
15.02.26	Udinese - Sassuolo	1:2 ✺
08.02.26	Sassuolo - Inter Milan	0:5 ✺
31.01.26	Pisa - Sassuolo	1:3 ✺
25.01.26	Sassuolo - Cremonese	1:0 ✺
17.01.26	Napoli - Sassuolo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WLWWL
- Hellas Verona
Italian Serie A
15.02.26	Parma - Verona	2:1 ✺
06.02.26	Verona - Pisa	0:0 ✺
31.01.26	Cagliari - Verona	4:0 ✺
26.01.26	Verona - Udinese	1:3 ✺
19.01.26	Cremonese - Verona	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
03.10.25	Verona - Sassuolo	0:1
03.03.24	Verona - Sassuolo	1:0
01.09.23	Sassuolo - Verona	3:1
08.04.23	Verona - Sassuolo	2:1
24.10.22	Sassuolo - Verona	2:1
16.01.22	Sassuolo - Verona	2:4
21.08.21	Verona - Sassuolo	2:3

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