Match Info

Serie A - Round 25

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Ennio Tardini (Parma)

Referee: Pairetto L. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Albania	Tring Sport 2
Argentina	DAZN, Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	DAZN
Bolivia	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	DAZN Canada, FuboTV
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	TV2 Play
Ecuador	DAZN
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
Hungary	Match 4
Indonesia	Vidio
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	ART Sport 1
Kuwait	Shasha
Malaysia	Astro Arena 2, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	VG+
Paraguay	DAZN
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	Eleven Sports 1, Eleven Sports 2
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Sport 3, Arena Sport 4
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime+
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 2
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	True ID, True Premier Football 4
Tunisia	Diwan Sport
Turkey	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 4
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	DAZN, Disney+
Usa	DAZN USA, Paramount+
Venezuela	DAZN, Disney+
Vietnam	TV 360, VTVcab
World	Starzplay Sports app


	Parma		Verona

	1	X	2
	2.25	3	3.6	Watch
	2.28	2.98	3.7	Watch
	2.27	2.99	3.95
	2.27	2.96	3.73	Watch
	2.25	2.8	3.5
	2.3	3.07	3.69
	2.22	3	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↓ (2.44)	2.97 ↑ (2.77)	3.7 ↑ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Parma
42.1%

Draw
32.1%

Verona
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

34.3%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8%

29.8%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Parma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Verona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Parma than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Parma that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Verona than the current prediction. (+5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.3%	27.8%	13.9%

Parma - Verona Predictions

Users Predictions: 36 users predict this event. Parma will win (votes: 21 - 58.3%). Verona will win (votes: 5 - 13.9%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 27.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Parma: 42.2% – 74.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Parma (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Parma (1.32) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Parma (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Corvi E. (G) 15. Delprato E. (C) 39. Circati A. 5. Valenti L. 27. Britschgi S. 10. Bernabe A. 16. Keita M. 22. Sorensen O. 14. Valeri E. 7. Strefezza G. 9. Pellegrino M.	1. Montipo L. (C) 37. Bella-Kotchap A. 15. Nelsson V. 5. Edmundsson A. 7. Belghali R. 36. Niasse C. 73. Al Musrati 21. Harroui A. 12. Bradaric D. 18. Bowie K. 16. Orban G.
Substitutes
29. Carboni F. 67. Casentini G. (G) 25. Cremaschi B. 61. Drobnic D. 23. Elphege N. 8. Estevez N. 76. Mikolajewski D. 41. Nicolussi Caviglia H. 17. Ondrejka J. 24. Ordonez C. 21. Oristanio G. 66. Rinaldi F. (G)	11. Akpa Akpro J. 70. Cham F. 3. Frese M. 41. Isaac 25. Mosquera D. 2. Oyegoke D. 34. Perilli S. (G) 9. Sarr A. 8. Serdar S. 19. Slotsager T. 94. Toniolo G. (G)
Coaches
Cuesta C.	Sammarco P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Bernabe A. ⚽, Keita M. (A),
11', Orban G. 🟥,
20', Belghali R. ↓, Akpa Akpro J. ↑,
41', Circati A. 🟨,
43', 1 - 1, Harroui A. (Penalty Awarded),
45+2', Valenti L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Valenti L. ↓, Ondrejka J. ↑,
62', Keita M. ↓, Nicolussi Caviglia H. ↑,
62', Bowie K. ↓, Sarr A. ↑,
70', Sorensen O. ↓, Oristanio G. ↑,
79', Harroui A. ↓, Slotsager T. ↑,
79', Niasse C. ↓, Serdar S. ↑,
87', Akpa Akpro J. 🟨,
90+3', 2 - 1, Pellegrino M. ⚽, Nicolussi Caviglia H. (A),
90+5', Strefezza G. ↓, Ordonez C. ↑,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 14 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Parma won 2.

In recent matches, Parma has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Verona is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Parma may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Parma could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Parma: Estevez N. (Knee Injury) Frigan M. (Knee Injury) Ndiaye A. (Groin Injury) Suzuki Z. (Finger Injury) Troilo M. (Red Card)

There will not play in Verona: Bernede A. (Injury) Gagliardini R. (Injury) Lovric S. (Inactive) Valentini N. (Injury)

There are questionable in Parma: Valenti L. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Verona: Belghali R. (Ankle Injury) Suslov T. (Knee Injury)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Parma won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 15:18. (average 1.4:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Parma won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.4:1.2).

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Parma: 0.2%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Parma	5	1	1	3	4:7	-3	4

Last Results with these Odds

Parma - the odds 2.44 are the expected chance of winning is 38.94%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Parma
Italian Serie A
08.02.26	Bologna - Parma	0:1 ✺
01.02.26	Parma - Juventus	1:4 ✺
25.01.26	Atalanta - Parma	4:0 ✺
18.01.26	Parma - Genoa	0:0 ✺
14.01.26	Napoli - Parma	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22 WLLTT
- Hellas Verona
Italian Serie A
06.02.26	Verona - Pisa	0:0 ✺
31.01.26	Cagliari - Verona	4:0 ✺
26.01.26	Verona - Udinese	1:3 ✺
19.01.26	Cremonese - Verona	0:0 ✺
15.01.26	Verona - Bologna	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
23.11.25	Verona - Parma	1:2
31.03.25	Verona - Parma	0:0
15.12.24	Parma - Verona	2:3
15.02.21	Verona - Parma	2:1
04.10.20	Parma - Verona	1:0
01.07.20	Verona - Parma	3:2
29.10.19	Parma - Verona	0:1

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