Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2 - Round 28

Date: 20 October 2024, Sunday


	Saturn Ramenskoye		Rodina Moscow 3

	1	X	2
	1.24	5.8	8.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.55)	5.8 ↑ (4.25)	8.25 ↑ (4.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Saturn Ramenskoye
73.3%

Draw
15.7%

Rodina Moscow 3
11%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.6%

21.4%

20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.8%

19.7%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Saturn Ramenskoye has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Saturn Ramenskoye's performance.

Rodina Moscow 3 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rodina Moscow 3 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saturn Ramenskoye than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Saturn Ramenskoye that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rodina Moscow 3 than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rodina Moscow 3 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Saturn Ramenskoye - Rodina Moscow 3 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
30', 0 - 1, Gharibyan A. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
61', 1 - 1, Gribanov D. ⚽,
81', 2 - 1, Solovjev A. ⚽,
88', 3 - 1, Khatuntsev I. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Saturn Ramenskoye
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 2
13.10.24	Luki-Energiya - Saturn Ramenskoye	1:5 ✺
05.10.24	Saturn Ramenskoye - Baltika 2	4:3 ✺
30.09.24	Znamya Truda - Saturn Ramenskoye	0:4 ✺
22.09.24	Saturn Ramenskoye - Yenisey 2	3:2 ✺
15.09.24	Torpedo Vladimir - Saturn Ramenskoye	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWWWT
- Rodina Moscow 3
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 2
13.10.24	Rodina Moscow 3 - Irkutsk	1:2 ✺
06.10.24	Spartak 2 Moscow - Rodina Moscow 3	3:2 ✺
29.09.24	Rodina Moscow 3 - Zenit 2	0:1 ✺
21.09.24	Zvezda St. Petersburg - Rodina Moscow 3	1:3 ✺
15.09.24	Volga Tver - Rodina Moscow 3	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 2
01.07.24	Rodina Moscow 3 - Saturn Ramenskoye	2:5

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