Match Info

Serie D - Winners stage - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 31 May 2026, Sunday


	Scafatese		Desenzano Calvina

	1	X	2
	1.92	3.2	3.55
	2.16	3.2	3.45
	1.97	3.3	3.53	Watch
	2.1	2.9	3.2
	1.96	3.2	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.97)	3.16 ↓ (3.3)	3.47 ↓ (3.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Scafatese
45%

Draw
28.8%

Desenzano Calvina
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

27.7%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

26.2%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Scafatese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Desenzano Calvina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Scafatese than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Desenzano Calvina than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Scafatese - Desenzano Calvina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

First leg result: 1-1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, Desenzano has had a series of home games.

Scafatese could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Scafatese won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Scafatese - the odds 1.97 are the expected chance of winning is 46.4%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Scafatese Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group A
24.05.26	Desenzano Calvina - Scafatese	1:1 ✺
17.05.26	Scafatese - Barletta	1:1 ✺
13.05.26	Savoia - Scafatese	1:4 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group G
12.04.26	Scafatese - Olbia	4:1 ✺
02.04.26	Trastevere - Scafatese	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TTWWL
- Desenzano Calvina
Italian Serie D - Group A
24.05.26	Desenzano Calvina - Scafatese	1:1 ✺
17.05.26	Desenzano Calvina - Grosseto	0:1 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group D
26.04.26	Desenzano Calvina - Pistoiese	1:1 ✺
19.04.26	Imolese - Desenzano Calvina	4:3 ✺
12.04.26	Desenzano Calvina - Sasso Marconi	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group A
24.05.26	Desenzano Calvina - Scafatese	1:1

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