Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 30

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Veltins Arena (Gelsenkirchen)

Referee: Aytekin D. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Schalke 04		Preußen Münster

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.1	5.75	Watch
	1.49	4.15	5.9	Watch
	1.53	4.36	6.9
	1.48	4.36	6.69	Watch
	1.5	3.9	6
	1.5	4.15	6.26	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.54)	4.17 ↑ (3.94)	6.25 ↑ (5.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Schalke 04
62.4%

Draw
22.5%

Preußen Münster
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.3%

23.6%

16.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62%

23%

15.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Schalke 04 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Preußen Münster has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Schalke 04 than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Preußen Münster than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Schalke 04 - Preußen Münster Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Schalke (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Schalke (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Schalke 04 will win (24 of 24 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Schalke (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Karius L. (G) 5. Becker T. 43. Ayhan M. 4. Kurucay H. 16. N'Diaye M. 23. El-Faouzi S. 6. Schallenberg R. 21. Ljubicic D. 19. Karaman K. (C) 24. Aouchiche A. 9. Sylla M.	1. Schenk J. (G) 22. Heuer J. 24. Koulis N. 3. Jaeckel P. 27. ter Horst J. 20. Hendrix J. (C) 21. Preissinger R. 14. Makridis C. 5. Bouchama Y. 30. Amenyido E. 17. Batista Meier O.
Substitutes
18. Antwi-Adjei C. 14. Bachmann J. 33. Becker V. 17. Gantenbein A. 7. Gomis C. 11. Lasme B. 3. Leonard D. 22. Muller K. (G) 2. Sanchez F.	26. Behrens M. (G) 6. Benger M. 2. Kirkeskov M. 13. Lokotsch L. 16. Paetow T. 32. Raschl T. 29. Rondic I. 10. Schulz M. 9. Yamada S.
Coaches
Muslic M.	Schwartz A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
36', 1 - 0, Karaman K. ⚽, Ljubicic D. (A),
45', 2 - 0, Heuer J. (Own goal),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Preissinger R. ↓, Schulz M. ↑,
46', Batista Meier O. ↓, Rondic I. ↑,
51', 3 - 0, Aouchiche A. ⚽, Ljubicic D. (A),
60', Becker T. ↓, Gantenbein A. ↑,
60', Schallenberg R. ↓, Lasme B. ↑,
66', 4 - 0, Sylla M. ⚽, Karaman K. (A),
69', Aouchiche A. 🟨,
70', El-Faouzi S. ↓, Bachmann J. ↑,
71', Karaman K. ↓, Gomis C. ↑,
71', Bouchama Y. ↓, Paetow T. ↑,
71', Hendrix J. ↓, Kirkeskov M. ↑,
81', Aouchiche A. ↓, Leonard D. ↑,
81', Amenyido E. ↓, Yamada S. ↑,
82', 4 - 1, Yamada S. ⚽, ter Horst J. (A),
86', Paetow T. 🟨,
90+2', Schulz M. 🟨,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga).

Schalke has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Münster has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Münster may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Schalke is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Schalke: Dzeko E. (Shoulder Injury) Hojlund E. (Heel Injury) Kalas T. (Lacking Match Fitness) Katic N. (Knee Injury) Matriciani H. (Knee Injury) Porath F. (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Münster: Batmaz M. (Knee Injury) Bolay L. (Knee Injury) Scherder S. (Knee Injury) Tikvic A. (Knee Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Schalke won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Schalke won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Schalke 04
German 2 Bundesliga
12.04.26	Elversberg - Schalke 04	1:2 ✺
05.04.26	Schalke 04 - Karlsruher	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
26.03.26	Schweinfurt - Schalke 04	2:0 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
21.03.26	Darmstadt - Schalke 04	1:1 ✺
15.03.26	Schalke 04 - Hannover	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWLTT
- Preußen Münster
German 2 Bundesliga
11.04.26	Preußen Münster - Greuther Fürth	0:0 ✺
05.04.26	Holstein Kiel - Preußen Münster	0:0 ✺
22.03.26	Preußen Münster - Magdeburg	1:3 ✺
15.03.26	Dynamo Dresden - Preußen Münster	6:0 ✺
08.03.26	Preußen Münster - Hertha Berlin	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
22.11.25	Preußen Münster - Schalke 04	0:0
28.02.25	Schalke 04 - Preußen Münster	1:0
28.09.24	Preußen Münster - Schalke 04	1:2

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