Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 26

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Veltins Arena (Gelsenkirchen) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Braun R. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Albania	13:30	Tring Sport 4
Argentina	09:30	Disney+, ESPN, FOX Sports 2
Armenia	16:30	Fast Sports
Australia	23:30	beIN Connect, ESPN
Austria	13:30	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
Brazil	09:30	Canal GOAT
Bulgaria	14:30	Nova Sport
Canada	08:30	DAZN Canada
Colombia	07:30	ESPN
Czech Republic	13:30	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	13:30	Viaplay
Finland	14:30	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
France	13:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free
Germany	13:30	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW
Greece	14:30	Nova Sports 3
Hong Kong	20:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Hungary	13:30	Arena 4
Iceland	12:30	Viaplay
Israel	14:30	Sport 3, Sport 4
Italy	13:30	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia
Laos	19:30	beIN Connect
Malaysia	20:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	13:30	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Mexico	06:30	Sky Sport
Netherlands	13:30	Viaplay
New Zealand	01:30	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Sky Sports Norte
Norway	13:30	TV2 Play, Viaplay, V Sport 2
Peru	07:30	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	20:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Poland	13:30	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	12:30	DAZN 3, DAZN / App
Romania	14:30	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3
Saudi Arabia	15:30	MBC Shahid
Serbia	13:30	Arena Premium 5
Singapore	20:30	beIN Sports 3
Slovakia	13:30	Nova Sport 3, Sport TV2
Spain	13:30	DAZN Espana
Sweden	13:30	Viaplay
Switzerland	13:30	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
Thailand	19:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	15:30	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 3
Uruguay	09:30	Disney+
Usa	08:30	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	08:30	Disney+, ESPN
International	12:30	Onefootball


	Schalke 04		Hannover

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.75	3.4	Watch
	2.05	3.55	3.2
	2.11	3.66	3.56
	2.06	3.7	3.36	Watch
	2.05	3.4	3.25
	2.08	3.78	3.26	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.36)	3.64 ↑ (3.49)	3.34 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Schalke 04
45.9%

Draw
25.9%

Hannover
28.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.1%

27.1%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40%

27.2%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Schalke 04 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Schalke 04's performance.

Hannover has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Schalke 04 than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Schalke 04 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hannover than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.8%	30.8%	15.4%

Schalke 04 - Hannover Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Schalke will win (votes: 14 - 53.8%). Hannover will win (votes: 4 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Schalke: 34.6% – 73%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Schalke 04 will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Karius L. (G) 5. Becker T. 25. Katic N. 4. Kurucay H. 16. N'Diaye M. 23. El-Faouzi S. 6. Schallenberg R. 21. Ljubicic D. 19. Karaman K. (C) 24. Aouchiche A. 10. Dzeko E.	1. Noll N. (G) 17. Allgeier B. 8. Leopold E. (C) 6. Nawrocki M. 33. Neubauer M. 15. Aseko-Nkili N. 23. Thordarson S. T. 29. Oudenne K. 18. Yokota D. 9. Kallman B. 24. Saad E.
Substitutes
47. Amoussou-Tchibara Z. 43. Ayhan M. 14. Bachmann J. 7. Gomis C. 37. Gruger M. 22. Muller K. (G) 2. Sanchez F. 9. Sylla M. 35. Wallentowitz M.	7. Bundu M. 14. Chakroun H. 5. Ghita V. 19. Kokolo W. 27. Matsuda H. 20. Okon I. 11. Pichler B. 26. Taibi W. 30. Weinkauf L. (G)
Coaches
Muslic M.	Titz C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, Dzeko E. ⚽, Karaman K. (A),
38', 2 - 0, Karaman K. ⚽, El-Faouzi S. (A),
41', Neubauer M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Saad E. ↓, Chakroun H. ↑,
46', Yokota D. ↓, Bundu M. ↑,
53', Dzeko E. 🟥,
56', Aouchiche A. ↓, Ayhan M. ↑,
61', Thordarson S. T. ↓, Matsuda H. ↑,
61', Oudenne K. ↓, Taibi W. ↑,
63', Schallenberg R. 🟨,
71', Ljubicic D. ↓, Bachmann J. ↑,
71', Karaman K. ↓, Sylla M. ↑,
76', Nawrocki M. 🟨,
77', Neubauer M. ↓, Pichler B. ↑,
79', Leopold E. (Penalty Awarded),
82', 2 - 1, Nawrocki M. ⚽,
90+5', N'Diaye M. ↓, Sanchez F. ↑,
90+8', 2 - 2, Pichler B. ⚽, Bundu M. (A),

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Schalke won 2.

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Schalke may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Schalke: Becker V. (Knock) Gantenbein A. (Calf Injury) Hojlund E. (Heel Injury) Kalas T. (Lacking Match Fitness) Lasme B. (Knee Injury) Leonard D. (Ankle Injury) Matriciani H. (Knee Injury) Porath F. (Inactive)

There will not play in Hannover: Tomiak B. (Injury)

There are questionable in Schalke: Karius L. (Back Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Schalke won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 34:24. (average 1.7:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Schalke won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 21:12. (average 2.3:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Hannover	8	2	2	4	8:13	-5	8

Outrights of German 2 Bundesliga for now

Hannover: 1.13%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Schalke 04
German 2 Bundesliga
06.03.26	Schalke 04 - Arminia Bielefeld	1:0 ✺
28.02.26	Greuther Fürth - Schalke 04	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Schalke 04 - Magdeburg	5:3 ✺
15.02.26	Holstein Kiel - Schalke 04	1:2 ✺
07.02.26	Schalke 04 - Dynamo Dresden	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WTWWT
- Hannover 96
German 2 Bundesliga
08.03.26	Hannover - Greuther Fürth	1:2 ✺
28.02.26	Arminia Bielefeld - Hannover	0:1 ✺
22.02.26	Hannover - Dynamo Dresden	0:0 ✺
14.02.26	Hertha Berlin - Hannover	2:3 ✺
08.02.26	Hannover - Holstein Kiel	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
17.10.25	Hannover - Schalke 04	0:3
14.03.25	Schalke 04 - Hannover	1:2
19.10.24	Hannover - Schalke 04	1:0
07.04.24	Hannover - Schalke 04	1:1
28.10.23	Schalke 04 - Hannover	3:2
19.03.22	Schalke 04 - Hannover	2:1
15.10.21	Hannover - Schalke 04	0:1

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