Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 27

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Merck-Stadion am Bollenfalltor (Darmstadt)

Referee: Hartmann R. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Darmstadt		Schalke 04

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.3	2.7	Watch
	2.65	3.4	2.55
	2.48	3.25	2.68	Watch
	2.64	3.45	2.8
	2.57	3.38	2.72	Watch
	2.5	3.2	2.63	Watch
	2.58	3.34	2.74	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.27)	3.33 ↓ (3.48)	2.69 ↓ (2.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Darmstadt
36.7%

Draw
28.3%

Schalke 04
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.4%

26.4%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

27.4%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Darmstadt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Schalke 04 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darmstadt than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Darmstadt, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Schalke 04 than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35.7%	50%	14.3%

Darmstadt - Schalke 04 Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Darmstadt will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Schalke will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.8% – 76.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schuhen M. (C) 2. Lopez S. 6. Pfeiffer P. 5. Maglica M. 15. Nurnberger F. 17. Klefisch K. 16. Akiyama H. 23. Richter M. 9. Hornby F. 8. Marseiler L. 7. Lidberg I.	1. Karius L. (G) 5. Becker T. 25. Katic N. 4. Kurucay H. 16. N'Diaye M. 23. El-Faouzi S. 6. Schallenberg R. 21. Ljubicic D. 19. Karaman K. (C) 24. Aouchiche A. 9. Sylla M.
Substitutes
26. Bader M. 30. Brunst A. (G) 34. Corredor K. 32. Holland F. 19. Lakenmacher F. 21. Papela M. 18. Petretta R. 31. Schmidt N. 20. Vukotic A.	47. Amoussou-Tchibara Z. 43. Ayhan M. 14. Bachmann J. 7. Gomis C. 37. Gruger M. 22. Muller K. (G) 2. Sanchez F. 35. Wallentowitz M.
Coaches
Kohfeldt F.	Muslic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
29', Marseiler L. ↓, Corredor K. ↑,
44', 0 - 1, Sylla M. ⚽,
45+4', Becker T. 🟨,
45+5', 1 - 1, Lidberg I. ⚽, Pfeiffer P. (A),
45+6', Karaman K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
79', Ljubicic D. ↓, Bachmann J. ↑,
79', Sylla M. ↓, Gomis C. ↑,
83', Nurnberger F. ↓, Petretta R. ↑,
83', Richter M. ↓, Schmidt N. ↑,
90+1', Klefisch K. 🟨,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Darmstadt won 3.

Darmstadt has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Schalke is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Darmstadt may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Darmstadt: Bader M. (Knee Injury) Bialek B. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Schalke: Becker V. (Knock) Dzeko E. (Red Card) Gantenbein A. (Calf Injury) Hojlund E. (Heel Injury) Kalas T. (Lacking Match Fitness) Lasme B. (Knee Injury) Leonard D. (Ankle Injury) Matriciani H. (Knee Injury) Porath F. (Inactive)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Darmstadt won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 22:21. (average 2:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Darmstadt won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.8:1.8).

Outrights of German 2 Bundesliga for now

Darmstadt: 0.46%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Darmstadt	7	2	1	4	8:14	-6	7

Last Results with these Odds

Schalke 04 - the odds 2.77 are the expected chance of winning is 33.18%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Darmstadt 98
German 2 Bundesliga
13.03.26	Magdeburg - Darmstadt	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	Darmstadt - Holstein Kiel	2:0 ✺
27.02.26	Dynamo Dresden - Darmstadt	3:1 ✺
21.02.26	Darmstadt - Fortuna Düsseldorf	2:1 ✺
14.02.26	Eintracht Braunschweig - Darmstadt	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TWLWT
- Schalke 04
German 2 Bundesliga
15.03.26	Schalke 04 - Hannover	2:2 ✺
06.03.26	Schalke 04 - Arminia Bielefeld	1:0 ✺
28.02.26	Greuther Fürth - Schalke 04	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Schalke 04 - Magdeburg	5:3 ✺
15.02.26	Holstein Kiel - Schalke 04	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

German DFB Pokal
29.10.25	Darmstadt - Schalke 04	4:0
German 2 Bundesliga
24.10.25	Schalke 04 - Darmstadt	1:0
23.02.25	Darmstadt - Schalke 04	2:0
20.09.24	Schalke 04 - Darmstadt	3:5
17.04.22	Darmstadt - Schalke 04	2:5
07.11.21	Schalke 04 - Darmstadt	2:4
German Bundesliga
16.04.17	Darmstadt - Schalke 04	2:1

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