Match Info

National League - Round 43

Date: 6 April 2026, Monday

Location: Gateshead International Stadium (Gateshead)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Gateshead		Scunthorpe United

	1	X	2
	3	3.75	2
	3.05	3.8	2.02
	3.14	3.91	2.1
	3.12	3.98	2.01	Watch
	3	3.6	2.05
	3.11	3.7	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.07 ↓ (3.08)	3.79 ↓ (4)	2.03 ↑ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gateshead
30.1%

Draw
24.4%

Scunthorpe United
45.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.1%

23.2%

46.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9%

22.3%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Gateshead have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Scunthorpe United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gateshead than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Scunthorpe United than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Gateshead - Scunthorpe United Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Gateshead will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Scunthorpe will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
47. Desbois A. (G) 17. Home J. 8. Bowen S. 7. Ward K. 3. Ferguson D. (C) 6. Nicholson B. 29. Boatswain A. 20. Fenton J. 21. Chadwick B. 32. Chapman H. 28. Storey L.	12. Jones L. (G) 4. Belehouan J. 8. Beestin A. 11. Rowley J. 6. Boyce A. 17. Ewing O. 7. Howe D. 16. Dausch A. 33. Denton T. 44. Barrows R. 32. Smith C.
Substitutes
15. Amantchi L. 22. Anifowose J. 10. Butterfield J. 25. Moore E. 11. Newton T. 9. Telford D. 31. Williams B.	22. Dawson J. 5. Evans W. 14. Jones P. 38. Mahady R. (G) 10. Roberts C. 25. Westbrooke Z. 9. Whitehall D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Nicholson B. ⚽, Ward K. (A),
26', Boyce A. ↓, Evans W. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', Barrows R. 🟥,
51', 2 - 0, Ward K. (Penalty Awarded),
58', Smith C. ↓, Jones P. ↑,
58', Ewing O. ↓, Westbrooke Z. ↑,
59', Dausch A. ↓, Roberts C. ↑,
72', Howe D. ↓, Whitehall D. ↑,
74', Chadwick B. ↓, Moore E. ↑,
74', Bowen S. ↓, Newton T. ↑,
74', Chapman H. ↓, Anifowose J. ↑,
85', Home J. ↓, Butterfield J. ↑,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 19 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Scunthorpe is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Gateshead won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Gateshead won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
22	Scunthorpe	12	3	1	8	15:21	-6	10
24	Gateshead	13	1	1	11	8:31	-23	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gateshead
English National League
03.04.26	Carlisle United - Gateshead	0:0 ✺
28.03.26	Gateshead - Yeovil Town	2:1 ✺
24.03.26	Gateshead - York City	3:1 ✺
21.03.26	Boreham Wood - Gateshead	3:0 ✺
17.03.26	Gateshead - Wealdstone	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.6 TWWLW
- Scunthorpe United
English National League
03.04.26	Scunthorpe United - Hartlepool United	0:0 ✺
28.03.26	Halifax Town - Scunthorpe United	1:2 ✺
25.03.26	Scunthorpe United - Rochdale	2:2 ✺
21.03.26	Braintree Town - Scunthorpe United	2:3 ✺
17.03.26	Truro City - Scunthorpe United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
30.12.25	Scunthorpe United - Gateshead	2:0
07.04.23	Gateshead - Scunthorpe United	2:0
25.10.22	Scunthorpe United - Gateshead	3:1

Gateshead - Scunthorpe United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide