Match Info

National League North - Play Offs - Final

Date: 18 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Attis Arena (Scunthorpe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	DAZN 1
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	DAZN Canada
France	DAZN France
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Spain	DAZN Espana
United-kingdom	DAZN 1 UK, DAZN
Usa	DAZN USA


	Scunthorpe United		Chester

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.6	3.9	Watch
	1.77	3.3	3.9
	1.84	3.5	4
	1.89	3.42	4.09
	1.89	3.42	4.12	Watch
	1.85	3.3	4
	1.81	3.5	4.12	Watch
	1.84	3.5	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.66)	3.44 ↓ (3.74)	4.02 ↓ (4.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Scunthorpe United
50.1%

Draw
26.9%

Chester
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

24.8%

19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.2%

25.9%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Scunthorpe United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Scunthorpe United's form might have worsened.

Chester has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Scunthorpe United than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Scunthorpe United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chester than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Scunthorpe United - Chester Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Whitehall D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
62', 1 - 1, Woods C. ⚽,
Extra Time (1 - 0)
105+1', 2 - 1, Ubaezuonu C. ⚽,

Preview

Scunthorpe is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Chester is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Scunthorpe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Scunthorpe is a strong favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Scunthorpe won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Scunthorpe won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Scunthorpe United - the odds 1.66 are the expected chance of winning is 55.84%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Scunthorpe United
English National League North
03.05.25	Scunthorpe United - Chorley	4:2 ✺
26.04.25	Hereford - Scunthorpe United	0:1 ✺
21.04.25	Scunthorpe United - Peterborough Sports	5:0 ✺
18.04.25	King`s Lynn Town - Scunthorpe United	1:0 ✺
12.04.25	Scunthorpe United - Spennymoor Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWWLW
- Chester City
English National League North
04.05.25	Kidderminster Harriers - Chester	1:2 ✺
30.04.25	Chester - Buxton	2:1 ET ✺
26.04.25	King`s Lynn Town - Chester	0:3 ✺
21.04.25	Chester - Marine	2:1 ✺
18.04.25	Southport - Chester	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.2 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
22.03.25	Scunthorpe United - Chester	3:1
19.10.24	Chester - Scunthorpe United	0:0
02.03.24	Scunthorpe United - Chester	2:2
21.10.23	Chester - Scunthorpe United	2:0

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