Match Info

Date: 11 September 2021, Saturday


	Scunthorpe United		Exeter City

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.25	2.25
	3.2	3.1	2.3
	3.1	3.2	2.4
	3.2	3.1	2.26
	3.35	3.25	2.34
	3.1	3.1	2.25
	3.28	3.34	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.22 ↑ (2.86)	3.19 ↓ (3.21)	2.31 ↓ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Scunthorpe United
29.4%

Draw
29.7%

Exeter City
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.9%

29.3%

37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1%

20.5%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Scunthorpe United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Exeter City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Scunthorpe United than the current prediction. (+17.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Scunthorpe United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (-14.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Exeter City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Scunthorpe United - Exeter City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 and 15).

Scunthorpe has the most likely position - 24 (19.96%), has project points - 46, has currently - 6, has a chance of relegated (34%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (3%), has a very small chance of promoted (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Exeter has the most likely position - 3 (5.87%), has project points - 67, has currently - 7, has a very small chance of relegated (2%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (22%), has a chance of promoted (23%), has a very small chance of win league (5%).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Scunthorpe won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Scunthorpe won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Scunthorpe United
English League Two
04.09.21	Northampton Town - Scunthorpe United	2:0 ✺
28.08.21	Scunthorpe United - Tranmere Rovers	1:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
24.08.21	Scunthorpe United - Manchester City U21	0:3 ✺
English League Two
21.08.21	Scunthorpe United - Sutton United	1:1 ✺
17.08.21	Walsall - Scunthorpe United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LWLTT
- Exeter City
English League Two
04.09.21	Exeter City - Forest Green Rovers	0:0 ✺
28.08.21	Harrogate Town - Exeter City	1:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
24.08.21	Exeter City - Chelsea U21	1:2 penalties ✺
English League Two
21.08.21	Exeter City - Bristol Rovers	4:1 ✺
17.08.21	Barrow - Exeter City	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TTLWT

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
09.03.21	Scunthorpe United - Exeter City	0:2
24.10.20	Exeter City - Scunthorpe United	3:1
22.10.19	Scunthorpe United - Exeter City	3:1
26.04.14	Exeter City - Scunthorpe United	2:0
19.10.13	Scunthorpe United - Exeter City	0:4
English League One
06.04.12	Scunthorpe United - Exeter City	N/A

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