Match Info

Date: 28 August 2021, Saturday


	Harrogate Town		Exeter City

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.4	3.6
	2.1	3.3	3.4
	2.1	3.5	3.45
	2.09	3.15	3.5
	2.17	3.34	3.67
	2.05	3.2	3.4
	2.16	3.52	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.32)	3.34 ↓ (3.4)	3.52 ↑ (2.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Harrogate Town
44.9%

Draw
28.2%

Exeter City
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

27.7%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4%

20.3%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Harrogate Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Exeter City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harrogate Town than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Harrogate Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Harrogate Town - Exeter City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Harrogate has the most likely position - 14 (4.93%), has project points - 64, has currently - 9, has a very small chance of relegated (5%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (18%), has a chance of promoted (16%), has a very small chance of win league (4%).

Exeter has the most likely position - 3 (6.54%), has project points - 69, has currently - 5, has a very small chance of relegated (2%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (23%), has a chance of promoted (25%), has a small chance of win league (6%).

Harrogate is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Exeter is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Exeter could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Harrogate will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Harrogate won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Harrogate won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Harrogate Town
English League Two
24.08.21	Leyton Orient - Harrogate Town	0:2 ✺
21.08.21	Harrogate Town - Barrow	2:1 ✺
English League Cup
10.08.21	Harrogate Town - Rochdale	Rochdale walkover ✺
English League Two
07.08.21	Harrogate Town - Rochdale	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.21	Harrogate Town - Doncaster Rovers	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WW?WL
- Exeter City
English EFL Trophy
24.08.21	Exeter City - Chelsea U21	1:2 penalties ✺
English League Two
21.08.21	Exeter City - Bristol Rovers	4:1 ✺
17.08.21	Barrow - Exeter City	0:0 ✺
14.08.21	Leyton Orient - Exeter City	3:0 ✺
English League Cup
10.08.21	Exeter City - Wycombe Wanderers	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
19.01.21	Harrogate Town - Exeter City	0:0
15.12.20	Exeter City - Harrogate Town	1:2

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