The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Exeter City 55.5%
Draw 24.6%
Forest Green Rovers 19.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
60.5%
22.6%
16.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.4%
21.9%
16.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Exeter City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
Forest Green Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Exeter City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Forest Green Rovers than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
70.6%
23.5%
5.9%
Exeter City - Forest Green Rovers Predictions
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Exeter will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). Forest Green will win (votes: 1 - 5.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 23.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Exeter: 48.9% – 92.3%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 11 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
Exeter has the most likely position - 12 (9.18%), has project points - 61, has currently - 34, has a very small chance of relegated (2%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (5%), has a very small chance of promoted (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Forest Green has the most likely position - 24 (52.17%), has project points - 37, has currently - 20, has a good chance of relegated (91%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has small quality13, small importance16, small match rating14. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Exeter won 1.
Recent matches Exeter is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Forest Green is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
In this match Exeter is a favorite.
Last 16 head-to-head matches Exeter won 7 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 22-14.
Including matches at home between the teams Exeter won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-6.
Watch
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