Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE - ROUND 22

Date: 3 December 2022, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Sands Venue Stadium (Scunthorpe) 🌤️ ...


	Scunthorpe United		Notts County

	1	X	2
	9.5	5.75	1.28
	8.25	5.5	1.25
	7.5	4.8	1.33
	8.4	5.4	1.27
	10.14	5.58	1.29
	9	5	1.27
	9.3	5.7	1.27
	8.6	5.6	1.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.84 ↑ (5.7)	5.42 ↑ (3.93)	1.28 ↓ (1.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Scunthorpe United
10.5%

Draw
17.1%

Notts County
72.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

15.9%

23%

61.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.5%

22.4%

62.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Scunthorpe United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Scunthorpe United's form might have worsened.

Notts County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Notts County's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Scunthorpe United than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Notts County, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	9.1%	54.5%

Scunthorpe United - Notts County Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Scunthorpe will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Notts County will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Notts County: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Scunthorpe won 3.

Scunthorpe has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Notts County is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Scunthorpe could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Notts County is the unquestionable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Notts County to win the game is with odds 1.34.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Scunthorpe won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 14-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Scunthorpe won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Scunthorpe United
English National League
26.11.22	Wealdstone - Scunthorpe United	3:1 ✺
19.11.22	Dagenham & Redbridge - Scunthorpe United	2:1 ✺
12.11.22	Scunthorpe United - Maidstone United	0:2 ✺
09.11.22	Scunthorpe United - Wrexham	1:3 ✺
01.11.22	Eastleigh - Scunthorpe United	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Notts County
English National League
19.11.22	Notts County - Yeovil Town	0:0 ✺
12.11.22	Eastleigh - Notts County	0:2 ✺
08.11.22	Southend United - Notts County	2:2 ✺
01.11.22	Notts County - Bromley	1:1 ✺
29.10.22	Notts County - Torquay United	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TWTTW

Latest Head to Head

English League Cup
08.08.17	Scunthorpe United - Notts County	4:3 penalties
09.08.16	Scunthorpe United - Notts County	2:0 ET
Club Friendly
31.07.15	Notts County - Scunthorpe United	1:2
English League One
28.03.15	Notts County - Scunthorpe United	2:2
25.10.14	Scunthorpe United - Notts County	0:1
English EFL Trophy
07.10.14	Scunthorpe United - Notts County	1:2
English League One
16.03.13	Notts County - Scunthorpe United	1:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Scunthorpe United
English National League
31.10.26	Boston United - Scunthorpe United	✺
- Notts County
English League One
31.10.26	Mansfield Town - Notts County	✺

Scunthorpe United - Notts County