Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE - ROUND 19

Date: 12 November 2022, Saturday


	Eastleigh		Notts County

	1	X	2
	5	4	1.55
	4.8	3.8	1.53
	4.6	3.8	1.65
	5	4	1.56
	5.5	4.25	1.58
	4.5	3.6	1.67
	5.1	4.15	1.58
	5	4	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.94 ↑ (3.81)	3.95 ↑ (3.7)	1.59 ↓ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eastleigh
18.7%

Draw
23.3%

Notts County
58%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.8%

24.5%

51.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.9%

23.6%

53.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eastleigh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Eastleigh's form might have worsened.

Notts County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Notts County's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eastleigh than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	12.5%	62.5%

Eastleigh - Notts County Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Eastleigh will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Notts County will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Notts County: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Eastleigh won 3.

Recent matches Eastleigh is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Notts County is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Eastleigh could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Notts County is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Eastleigh won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Eastleigh won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eastleigh FC
English National League
08.11.22	Eastleigh - Maidstone United	5:2 ✺
English FA Cup
05.11.22	Boreham Wood - Eastleigh	3:1 ✺
English National League
01.11.22	Eastleigh - Scunthorpe United	2:0 ✺
29.10.22	Woking - Eastleigh	1:0 ✺
25.10.22	Eastleigh - Torquay United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLWLW
- Notts County
English National League
08.11.22	Southend United - Notts County	2:2 ✺
01.11.22	Notts County - Bromley	1:1 ✺
29.10.22	Notts County - Torquay United	4:0 ✺
25.10.22	Wealdstone - Notts County	1:6 ✺
21.10.22	Notts County - Maidstone United	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
19.02.22	Notts County - Eastleigh	2:0
English FA Trophy
15.01.22	Notts County - Eastleigh	2:1
English National League
20.11.21	Eastleigh - Notts County	2:0
27.04.21	Eastleigh - Notts County	2:0
17.04.21	Notts County - Eastleigh	0:1
14.03.20	Notts County - Eastleigh	4:0
03.08.19	Eastleigh - Notts County	1:0

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