Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE - ROUND 18

Date: 8 November 2022, Tuesday

Location: Roots Hall (Southend on Sea)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	BT Sport


	Southend United		Notts County

	1	X	2
	4	3.4	1.85
	3.7	3.3	1.82
	3.9	3.7	1.78
	3.75	3.5	1.85
	4	3.76	1.88
	3.9	3.3	1.85
	3.88	3.56	1.88
	3.8	3.55	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.87 ↓ (4.4)	3.51 ↓ (3.66)	1.85 ↑ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Southend United
23.8%

Draw
26.3%

Notts County
49.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.7%

25%

54.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.4%

24.7%

55%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Southend United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Notts County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southend United than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Notts County could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.7%	13.3%	40%

Southend United - Notts County Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Southend will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). Notts County will win (votes: 6 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Southend: 21.5% – 71.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two).

Now both teams are in good shape.

Recently Southend have a series of guest games.

Recently Notts County have a series of home games.

In this match Notts County is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Southend won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Southend won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Southend United
English National League
01.11.22	Barnet - Southend United	0:3 ✺
29.10.22	York City - Southend United	0:2 ✺
25.10.22	Maidstone United - Southend United	0:3 ✺
22.10.22	Southend United - Scunthorpe United	3:0 ✺
English FA Cup
15.10.22	Woking - Southend United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWWWL
- Notts County
English National League
01.11.22	Notts County - Bromley	1:1 ✺
29.10.22	Notts County - Torquay United	4:0 ✺
25.10.22	Wealdstone - Notts County	1:6 ✺
21.10.22	Notts County - Maidstone United	3:0 ✺
English FA Cup
15.10.22	Notts County - Coalville Town	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
02.04.22	Southend United - Notts County	0:3
11.12.21	Notts County - Southend United	4:1

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