Match Info

National League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 28 April 2026, Tuesday

Location: Attis Arena (Scunthorpe)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Scunthorpe United		Southend United

	1	X	2
	3	3.4	2.1
	3.1	3.4	1.98
	3.25	3.55	2.02
	3.44	3.7	2.07
	3.32	3.69	2.01	Watch
	3	3.4	2.15
	3.35	3.54	2.03	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.21 ↑ (3.08)	3.53 ↓ (3.65)	2.05 ↓ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Scunthorpe United
28.8%

Draw
26.2%

Southend United
45%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.1%

25.4%

44.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7%

25.1%

45%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Scunthorpe United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Southend United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Scunthorpe United than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

The ML Model estimate for Southend United aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	37.5%	50%

Scunthorpe United - Southend United Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Scunthorpe will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Southend will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Southend: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Jones L. (G) 33. Denton T. 3. Horton B. 5. Evans W. 4. Belehouan J. 25. Westbrooke Z. 11. Rowley J. 17. Ewing O. 14. Jones P. 9. Whitehall D. 10. Roberts C. (C)	30. Andeng Ndi C. (G) 33. Boyes H. 26. Golding J. 15. Gubbins J. 16. Taylor H. 2. Scott-Morriss G. (C) 28. Coker O. 23. Morton 22. Appiah-Forson K. 9. Dallas A. 21. Cardwell H.
Substitutes
44. Barrows R. 8. Beestin A. 18. Brogan M. 7. Howe D. 38. Mahady R. (G) 20. Scales K. 32. Smith C.	10. Austin S. 7. Bridge J. 19. Chambers-Parillon L. 6. Goodliffe B. 14. Hopper T. 24. Kendall C. 17. Miley C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Roberts C. ⚽, Whitehall D. (A),
32', Horton B. 🟨,
36', Taylor H. 🟨,
45+2', Jones P. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
67', Morton ↓, Chambers-Parillon L. ↑,
67', Appiah-Forson K. ↓, Miley C. ↑,
68', Miley C. 🟨,
70', Rowley J. 🟨,
78', Jones P. ↓, Beestin A. ↑,
84', Gubbins J. ↓, Bridge J. ↑,
84', Dallas A. ↓, Kendall C. ↑,
90', Whitehall D. ↓, Howe D. ↑,
90', Roberts C. ↓, Scales K. ↑,
90+1', Coker O. ↓, Hopper T. ↑,
90+4', Scott-Morriss G. 🟨,
90+7', Ewing O. ↓, Barrows R. ↑,
90+8', Taylor H. 🟨,
90+9', Scales K. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Scunthorpe won 2.

In recent matches, Scunthorpe has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Southend is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Southend may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Southend is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Scunthorpe won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:23. (average 1.5:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Scunthorpe won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:9. (average 2.1:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Southend	13	8	3	2	31:19	12	27
22	Scunthorpe	12	3	1	8	15:21	-6	10

Last Results with these Odds

Southend United - the odds 2.09 are the expected chance of winning is 44.42%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Scunthorpe United
English National League
25.04.26	Scunthorpe United - Eastleigh	0:1 ✺
18.04.26	Wealdstone - Scunthorpe United	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Scunthorpe United - Brackley Town	1:0 ✺
06.04.26	Gateshead - Scunthorpe United	2:0 ✺
03.04.26	Scunthorpe United - Hartlepool United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LTWLT
- Southend United
English National League
25.04.26	Southend United - Wealdstone	2:1 ✺
21.04.26	Hartlepool United - Southend United	4:3 ✺
18.04.26	Halifax Town - Southend United	2:6 ✺
14.04.26	Aldershot Town - Southend United	0:2 ✺
11.04.26	Southend United - Solihull Moors	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

English National League
07.02.26	Scunthorpe United - Southend United	1:0
27.09.25	Southend United - Scunthorpe United	0:2
22.04.23	Scunthorpe United - Southend United	1:3
22.10.22	Southend United - Scunthorpe United	3:0
English League Two
20.03.21	Scunthorpe United - Southend United	1:1
12.12.20	Southend United - Scunthorpe United	1:0
English League One
12.03.19	Scunthorpe United - Southend United	4:1

Scunthorpe United - Southend United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide