Match Info

Leagues Cup - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 20 August 2025, Wednesday

Location: Lumen Field (Seattle, WA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	Amazon Prime Video, RDS App, RDS, TSN 5
China	ZhiBo8
Italy	Amazon Prime Video
Usa	Fox Sports 1, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, MLS Season Pass, TUDN App, TUDN, UniMas, Univision


	Seattle Sounders		Puebla

	1	X	2
	1.33	5.5	7	Watch
	1.3	4.8	7.25
	1.39	4.95	6.7	Watch
	1.35	5.53	8.28
	1.38	5.23	7.35	Watch
	1.4	5.1	7.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.49)	5.19 ↑ (4.55)	7.28 ↑ (5.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Seattle Sounders
69%

Draw
18.1%

Puebla
12.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.2%

20.7%

16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.1%

19.5%

15.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Seattle Sounders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Seattle Sounders's performance.

Puebla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Seattle Sounders than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puebla than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.4%	5.9%	11.8%

Seattle Sounders - Puebla Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Seattle (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Puebla (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

EH -3 - Seattle (11.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - Seattle (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

TQ, OT - Seattle (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Seattle (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Seattle Sounders will win (14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.23% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Seattle (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Puebla (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Thomas A. (G) 16. Roldan A. 25. Ragen J. 28. Gomez Andrade Y. 5. Nouhou 7. Roldan C. (C) 18. Vargas O. 14. Rothrock P. 9. Ferreira J. 10. de La Vega P. 19. Musovski D.	1. Gonzalez J. (G) 3. Rey L. 4. Orona E. 2. Fedorco J. (C) 14. Rivas J. 24. Organista A. 18. Gamarra P. 6. Diaz N. 19. Marin R. 11. Gomez E. 7. Monarrez F.
Substitutes
33. Baker C. 21. Baker-Whiting R. 15. Bell J. 37. Brunell S. 29. Castro J. (G) 95. De Rosario O. 24. Frei S. (G) 20. Kim Kee-Hee 85. Kossa-Rienzi K. 75. Leyva D. 93. Minoungou G. 3. Sousa T.	22. Baltazar C. 206. Cortes J. 23. Gomez J. (G) 302. Gonzalez Mateo 17. Lozano E. 12. Moreno I. 5. Moyano F. 192. Navarro E. 20. Pachuca Martinez J. R. 8. Ramirez M. 33. Rodriguez J. (G)
Coaches
Schmetzer B.	Bravo M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
65', de La Vega P. ↓, Minoungou G. ↑,
69', Organista A. 🟨,
71', Gomez E. ↓, Gonzalez O. ↑,
76', Musovski D. 🟨,
76', Musovski D. 🟨,
78', Rothrock P. ↓, De Rosario O. ↑,
84', Organista A. ↓, Lozano E. ↑,
84', Diaz N. 🟨,
90+3', Nouhou ↓, Leyva D. ↑,
90+4', Marin R. 🟨,
Penalties (4 - 3)
1, Roldan C. (Pen),
1, Marin R. (Pen),
2, Roldan A. (Pen),
2, Lozano E. (Pen),
3, Ragen J. (Pen),
3, Gonzalez O. (Pen),
4, Ferreira J. (Pen),
4, Monarrez F. (Pen),
5, Vargas O. (Pen),
5, Diaz N. (Pen),

Preview

Seattle is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Puebla has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Seattle may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Puebla has had a series of away games.

In this match, Seattle is the undisputed favorite.

We predict that Seattle will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Seattle Sounders FC
MLS
16.08.25	Minnesota United - Seattle Sounders	1:0 ✺
10.08.25	Los Angeles Galaxy - Seattle Sounders	0:4 ✺
CONCACAF League Cup
06.08.25	Seattle Sounders - Tijuana	2:1 ✺
03.08.25	Seattle Sounders - Santos Laguna	2:1 ✺
31.07.25	Cruz Azul - Seattle Sounders	0:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LWWWW
- Puebla FC
Mexican Liga MX
15.08.25	Puebla - Atlético San Luis	0:2 ✺
08.08.25	Tigres UANL - Puebla	7:0 ✺
CONCACAF League Cup
05.08.25	CF Montréal - Puebla	1:2 ✺
01.08.25	Columbus Crew - Puebla	3:1 ✺
29.07.25	New York City - Puebla	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 LLWLW

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