Match Info

Leagues Cup - Round 2

Date: 1 August 2025, Friday

Location: Lower.com Field (Columbus, OH)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	MLS Season Pass
World	Apple TV


	Columbus Crew		Puebla

	1	X	2
	1.48	4.75	5.5	Watch
	1.5	4.1	4.8
	1.38	4.9	6.6	Watch
	1.48	4.84	6.09
	1.03	17.36	27.69	Watch
	1.4	4.95	6.89	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.65)	6.82 ↑ (4.02)	9.6 ↑ (4.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Columbus Crew
74.3%

Draw
15%

Puebla
10.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.8%

23.3%

19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.2%

22.7%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Columbus Crew has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Columbus Crew's performance.

Puebla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Puebla might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Columbus Crew than the current prediction. (-16.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Columbus Crew that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puebla than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Puebla could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	18.2%	9.1%

Columbus Crew - Puebla Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Columbus will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Puebla will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Columbus: 46.4% – 99%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Columbus (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Bush E. (G) 31. Moreira S. 25. Zawadzki S. 18. Amundsen M. 2. Herrera A. 7. Chambost D. 6. Nagbe D. (C) 11. Aliyu I. 10. Rossi D. 27. Arfsten M. 16. Habroune T.	33. Rodriguez J. (G) 3. Rey L. 2. Fedorco J. 20. Pachuca Martinez J. R. 21. Gonzalez O. 24. Organista A. 18. Gamarra P. 8. Ramirez M. 6. Diaz N. 11. Gomez E. 17. Lozano E.
Substitutes
44. Brown T. 21. Cheberko Y. 8. Gazdag D. 20. Jones D. 26. Lappalainen L. 29. Mrowka C. 30. Picard H. 22. Romero A. (G) 19. Russell-Rowe J. 48. Ruvalcaba C. 28. Schulte P. (G) 14. Sejdic A.	22. Baltazar C. 10. Castillo R. 206. Cortes J. 23. Gomez J. (G) 1. Gonzalez J. (G) 187. Guido Paz D. 19. Marin R. 7. Monarrez F. 12. Moreno I. 4. Orona E. 25. Portales W. 14. Rivas J.
Coaches
Nancy W.	Guede P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
14', 1 - 0, Amundsen M. ⚽, Rossi D. (A),
16', 2 - 0, Rossi D. ⚽, Habroune T. (A),
31', Pachuca Martinez J. R. ↓, Moreno I. ↑,
39', 3 - 0, Herrera A. ⚽, Habroune T. (A),
43', Gamarra P. 🟨,
44', Fedorco J. 🟨,
45+1', 3 - 1, Lozano E. ⚽, Rey L. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ramirez M. ↓, Monarrez F. ↑,
46', Aliyu I. ↓, Russell-Rowe J. ↑,
53', Gamarra P. ↓, Guido Paz D. ↑,
53', Gonzalez O. ↓, Baltazar C. ↑,
54', Lozano E. ↓, Marin R. ↑,
61', Moreno I. 🟨,
62', Rossi D. ↓, Gazdag D. ↑,
62', Amundsen M. ↓, Cheberko Y. ↑,
83', Herrera A. ↓, Lappalainen L. ↑,
83', Moreira S. ↓, Ruvalcaba C. ↑,
90+2', 🟨,

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Columbus is the clear favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Columbus Crew - the odds 1.65 are the expected chance of winning is 56.85%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Columbus Crew
CONCACAF League Cup
29.07.25	Toluca - Columbus Crew	2:2 ✺
MLS
25.07.25	Columbus Crew - Orlando City	1:3 ✺
19.07.25	Columbus Crew - DC United	2:1 ✺
16.07.25	Nashville SC - Columbus Crew	3:0 ✺
12.07.25	Cincinnati - Columbus Crew	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TLWLW
- Puebla FC
CONCACAF League Cup
29.07.25	New York City - Puebla	0:3 ✺
Mexican Liga MX
25.07.25	Puebla - Santos Laguna	1:0 ✺
18.07.25	Mazatlan - Puebla	2:1 ✺
11.07.25	Puebla - Atlas	2:3 ✺
Club Friendly
02.07.25	Club América - Puebla	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WWLLL

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